Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
25%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.482.79safe0.34–2.270.63–2.330.96–4.61safer0.09–2.530.40–2.560.48–5.09
Shots on target
38%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.174.528.69safe2.31–6.032.78–6.265.09–12.30safer1.82–6.522.31–6.734.13–13.25
Total shots
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1812.9026.08safe9.26–17.119.33–16.4618.59–33.57safer8.17–18.208.37–17.4216.54–35.62
Shots in box
46%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction8.108.0016.10safe5.16–11.045.32–10.6810.47–21.72safer4.33–11.874.58–11.428.91–23.29
Blocked shots
44%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.373.256.62safe1.49–5.251.60–4.913.08–10.16safer0.94–5.791.11–5.402.05–11.19
Corners
42%
13%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.734.879.60safe2.51–6.942.87–6.875.39–13.81safer1.94–7.512.34–7.414.28–14.92
Possession %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction43.2657.09safe36.47–50.0550.30–63.87safer34.80–51.7248.63–65.54
Passes
19%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction388494883safe321–456428–561749–1017safer303–474410–578713–1052
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction64.4574.48safe60.42–68.4870.16–78.80safer59.13–69.7768.85–80.11
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8413.2626.10safe10.00–15.6810.31–16.2020.32–31.88safer9.25–16.449.57–16.9518.82–33.39
Offsides
53%
17%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.892.235.12safe1.73–4.051.14–3.322.87–7.37safer1.43–4.350.85–3.612.28–7.96
Yellow cards
39%
19%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.322.424.73safe1.27–3.361.29–3.542.55–6.91safer1.00–3.630.99–3.841.99–7.47
Red cards
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.150.27safe0.00–0.280.00–0.340.00–0.62safer0.00–0.430.00–0.470.00–0.91
GK saves
45%
17%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.912.705.61safe1.48–4.351.14–4.252.62–8.60safer1.09–4.740.72–4.681.80–9.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.34–2.27 0.09–2.53 | 1.48 0.63–2.33 0.40–2.56 | 2.79 0.96–4.61 0.48–5.09 | 33% 25% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.17 2.31–6.03 1.82–6.52 | 4.52 2.78–6.26 2.31–6.73 | 8.69 5.09–12.30 4.13–13.25 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Total shots | 13.18 9.26–17.11 8.17–18.20 | 12.90 9.33–16.46 8.37–17.42 | 26.08 18.59–33.57 16.54–35.62 | 48% 44% |
| Shots in box | 8.10 5.16–11.04 4.33–11.87 | 8.00 5.32–10.68 4.58–11.42 | 16.10 10.47–21.72 8.91–23.29 | 46% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 3.37 1.49–5.25 0.94–5.79 | 3.25 1.60–4.91 1.11–5.40 | 6.62 3.08–10.16 2.05–11.19 | 44% 16% 40% |
| Corners | 4.73 2.51–6.94 1.94–7.51 | 4.87 2.87–6.87 2.34–7.41 | 9.60 5.39–13.81 4.28–14.92 | 42% 13% 45% |
| Possession % | 43.26 36.47–50.05 34.80–51.72 | 57.09 50.30–63.87 48.63–65.54 | — | 19% 78% |
| Passes | 388 321–456 303–474 | 494 428–561 410–578 | 883 749–1017 713–1052 | 19% 81% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.45 60.42–68.48 59.13–69.77 | 74.48 70.16–78.80 68.85–80.11 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 12.84 10.00–15.68 9.25–16.44 | 13.26 10.31–16.20 9.57–16.95 | 26.10 20.32–31.88 18.82–33.39 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 2.89 1.73–4.05 1.43–4.35 | 2.23 1.14–3.32 0.85–3.61 | 5.12 2.87–7.37 2.28–7.96 | 53% 17% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 2.32 1.27–3.36 1.00–3.63 | 2.42 1.29–3.54 0.99–3.84 | 4.73 2.55–6.91 1.99–7.47 | 39% 19% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.27 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.91 | 77% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.48–4.35 1.09–4.74 | 2.70 1.14–4.25 0.72–4.68 | 5.61 2.62–8.60 1.80–9.41 | 45% 17% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.