La Liga·Regular Season - 13·
La Liga·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
23%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.823.04safe0.26–2.190.96–2.671.22–4.86safer0.00–2.440.73–2.900.74–5.34
Shots on target
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction4.035.389.41safe2.17–5.893.63–7.125.80–13.01safer1.68–6.383.17–7.584.85–13.97
Total shots
23%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7514.9826.72safe7.82–15.6711.41–18.5419.24–34.21safer6.73–16.7610.45–19.5017.19–36.26
Shots in box
23%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction7.7910.3718.17safe4.85–10.747.69–13.0512.54–23.79safer4.02–11.576.95–13.7910.98–25.36
Blocked shots
30%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.334.287.61safe1.45–5.222.62–5.934.07–11.14safer0.91–5.762.13–6.423.04–12.18
Corners
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.715.7810.49safe2.49–6.923.78–7.786.27–14.70safer1.92–7.493.25–8.315.17–15.81
Possession %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction48.3752.54safe41.58–55.1645.76–59.33safer39.91–56.8344.09–61.00
Passes
51%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction451448899safe384–519382–514766–1033safer366–537364–532730–1069
Pass accuracy %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction63.5571.20safe59.52–67.5866.87–75.52safer58.23–68.8765.56–76.83
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8612.5024.36safe9.02–14.699.56–15.4518.58–30.14safer8.26–15.458.81–16.2017.07–31.65
Offsides
24%
18%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.792.744.53safe0.63–2.951.65–3.832.27–6.78safer0.33–3.251.36–4.121.68–7.37
Yellow cards
45%
20%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.322.064.38safe1.27–3.370.94–3.192.21–6.56safer1.00–3.640.64–3.481.65–7.12
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.090.22safe0.00–0.280.00–0.280.00–0.56safer0.00–0.430.00–0.410.00–0.85
GK saves
55%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.682.856.53safe2.24–5.111.29–4.413.54–9.52safer1.85–5.500.87–4.832.72–10.33
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.26–2.19 0.00–2.44 | 1.82 0.96–2.67 0.73–2.90 | 3.04 1.22–4.86 0.74–5.34 | 26% 23% 51% |
| Shots on target | 4.03 2.17–5.89 1.68–6.38 | 5.38 3.63–7.12 3.17–7.58 | 9.41 5.80–13.01 4.85–13.97 | 27% 61% |
| Total shots | 11.75 7.82–15.67 6.73–16.76 | 14.98 11.41–18.54 10.45–19.50 | 26.72 19.24–34.21 17.19–36.26 | 23% 70% |
| Shots in box | 7.79 4.85–10.74 4.02–11.57 | 10.37 7.69–13.05 6.95–13.79 | 18.17 12.54–23.79 10.98–25.36 | 23% 69% |
| Blocked shots | 3.33 1.45–5.22 0.91–5.76 | 4.28 2.62–5.93 2.13–6.42 | 7.61 4.07–11.14 3.04–12.18 | 30% 14% 56% |
| Corners | 4.71 2.49–6.92 1.92–7.49 | 5.78 3.78–7.78 3.25–8.31 | 10.49 6.27–14.70 5.17–15.81 | 31% 57% |
| Possession % | 48.37 41.58–55.16 39.91–56.83 | 52.54 45.76–59.33 44.09–61.00 | — | 38% 57% |
| Passes | 451 384–519 366–537 | 448 382–514 364–532 | 899 766–1033 730–1069 | 51% 49% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.55 59.52–67.58 58.23–68.87 | 71.20 66.87–75.52 65.56–76.83 | — | 15% 82% |
| Fouls | 11.86 9.02–14.69 8.26–15.45 | 12.50 9.56–15.45 8.81–16.20 | 24.36 18.58–30.14 17.07–31.65 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.79 0.63–2.95 0.33–3.25 | 2.74 1.65–3.83 1.36–4.12 | 4.53 2.27–6.78 1.68–7.37 | 24% 18% 58% |
| Yellow cards | 2.32 1.27–3.37 1.00–3.64 | 2.06 0.94–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 4.38 2.21–6.56 1.65–7.12 | 45% 20% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.68 2.24–5.11 1.85–5.50 | 2.85 1.29–4.41 0.87–4.83 | 6.53 3.54–9.52 2.72–10.33 | 55% 15% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+