La Liga·Regular Season - 13·
La Liga·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
24%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.132.78safe0.67–2.610.28–1.990.95–4.60safer0.42–2.860.05–2.220.47–5.08
Shots on target
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.533.749.27safe3.67–7.392.00–5.495.67–12.88safer3.18–7.881.54–5.954.71–13.83
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2211.0827.30safe12.29–20.147.52–14.6419.81–34.78safer11.20–21.236.56–15.6017.76–36.83
Shots in box
76%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction10.587.0917.67safe7.64–13.524.41–9.7712.05–23.29safer6.81–14.353.67–10.5110.48–24.86
Blocked shots
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.732.947.66safe2.84–6.611.28–4.594.13–11.20safer2.30–7.150.79–5.083.09–12.23
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.844.2210.06safe3.62–8.052.22–6.225.84–14.27safer3.05–8.621.69–6.754.74–15.38
Possession %
62%
34%
homeawayprediction53.0846.93safe46.29–59.8740.15–53.72safer44.62–61.5438.48–55.39
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction492399891safe425–559333–466758–1025safer407–578315–483722–1061
Pass accuracy %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction70.0368.02safe66.00–74.0663.70–72.35safer64.71–75.3562.39–73.66
Fouls
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9311.4922.42safe8.09–13.778.55–14.4316.64–28.20safer7.34–14.527.80–15.1815.13–29.71
Offsides
43%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.833.82safe0.84–3.160.73–2.921.57–6.08safer0.53–3.460.45–3.210.98–6.66
Yellow cards
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.893.59safe0.66–2.760.76–3.021.42–5.77safer0.39–3.020.47–3.310.86–6.33
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.523.596.12safe1.09–3.962.04–5.153.12–9.11safer0.70–4.351.61–5.582.31–9.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.64 0.67–2.61 0.42–2.86 | 1.13 0.28–1.99 0.05–2.22 | 2.78 0.95–4.60 0.47–5.08 | 49% 24% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.53 3.67–7.39 3.18–7.88 | 3.74 2.00–5.49 1.54–5.95 | 9.27 5.67–12.88 4.71–13.83 | 66% 22% |
| Total shots | 16.22 12.29–20.14 11.20–21.23 | 11.08 7.52–14.64 6.56–15.60 | 27.30 19.81–34.78 17.76–36.83 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 10.58 7.64–13.52 6.81–14.35 | 7.09 4.41–9.77 3.67–10.51 | 17.67 12.05–23.29 10.48–24.86 | 76% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 4.73 2.84–6.61 2.30–7.15 | 2.94 1.28–4.59 0.79–5.08 | 7.66 4.13–11.20 3.09–12.23 | 68% 20% |
| Corners | 5.84 3.62–8.05 3.05–8.62 | 4.22 2.22–6.22 1.69–6.75 | 10.06 5.84–14.27 4.74–15.38 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 53.08 46.29–59.87 44.62–61.54 | 46.93 40.15–53.72 38.48–55.39 | — | 62% 34% |
| Passes | 492 425–559 407–578 | 399 333–466 315–483 | 891 758–1025 722–1061 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.03 66.00–74.06 64.71–75.35 | 68.02 63.70–72.35 62.39–73.66 | — | 58% 37% |
| Fouls | 10.93 8.09–13.77 7.34–14.52 | 11.49 8.55–14.43 7.80–15.18 | 22.42 16.64–28.20 15.13–29.71 | 41% 50% |
| Offsides | 2.00 0.84–3.16 0.53–3.46 | 1.83 0.73–2.92 0.45–3.21 | 3.82 1.57–6.08 0.98–6.66 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.39–3.02 | 1.89 0.76–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 3.59 1.42–5.77 0.86–6.33 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.52 1.09–3.96 0.70–4.35 | 3.59 2.04–5.15 1.61–5.58 | 6.12 3.12–9.11 2.31–9.92 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.