La Liga·Regular Season - 13·
La Liga·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
19%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.170.943.12safe1.21–3.140.09–1.801.29–4.94safer0.95–3.390.00–2.020.81–5.42
Shots on target
76%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.563.8410.40safe4.70–8.422.10–5.586.79–14.00safer4.21–8.911.63–6.055.84–14.96
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction18.8510.3129.16safe14.93–22.786.74–13.8721.67–36.65safer13.84–23.875.79–14.8319.62–38.70
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction11.756.8818.63safe8.81–14.694.20–9.5613.01–24.26safer7.98–15.523.46–10.3011.44–25.82
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction5.022.367.38safe3.14–6.900.71–4.023.85–10.92safer2.59–7.440.22–4.512.81–11.95
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction7.013.5810.60safe4.80–9.221.58–5.586.38–14.81safer4.22–9.801.05–6.125.28–15.92
Possession %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction56.9142.69safe50.12–63.7035.90–49.47safer48.45–65.3734.23–51.14
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction5824211003safe515–649355–488870–1137safer496–667338–505834–1173
Pass accuracy %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction74.3371.16safe70.30–78.3666.83–75.48safer69.01–79.6565.52–76.79
Fouls
22%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9813.1423.12safe7.14–12.8110.20–16.0917.34–28.90safer6.38–13.579.45–16.8415.83–30.41
Offsides
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.803.49safe0.53–2.850.71–2.901.24–5.75safer0.23–3.150.42–3.180.65–6.34
Yellow cards
20%
19%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.372.463.82safe0.32–2.421.33–3.581.64–6.00safer0.05–2.681.03–3.881.09–6.56
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
19%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.624.467.07safe1.18–4.052.90–6.014.08–10.07safer0.79–4.442.48–6.443.27–10.88
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.17 1.21–3.14 0.95–3.39 | 0.94 0.09–1.80 0.00–2.02 | 3.12 1.29–4.94 0.81–5.42 | 65% 19% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.56 4.70–8.42 4.21–8.91 | 3.84 2.10–5.58 1.63–6.05 | 10.40 6.79–14.00 5.84–14.96 | 76% 16% |
| Total shots | 18.85 14.93–22.78 13.84–23.87 | 10.31 6.74–13.87 5.79–14.83 | 29.16 21.67–36.65 19.62–38.70 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 11.75 8.81–14.69 7.98–15.52 | 6.88 4.20–9.56 3.46–10.30 | 18.63 13.01–24.26 11.44–25.82 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 5.02 3.14–6.90 2.59–7.44 | 2.36 0.71–4.02 0.22–4.51 | 7.38 3.85–10.92 2.81–11.95 | 79% |
| Corners | 7.01 4.80–9.22 4.22–9.80 | 3.58 1.58–5.58 1.05–6.12 | 10.60 6.38–14.81 5.28–15.92 | 82% |
| Possession % | 56.91 50.12–63.70 48.45–65.37 | 42.69 35.90–49.47 34.23–51.14 | — | 78% 18% |
| Passes | 582 515–649 496–667 | 421 355–488 338–505 | 1003 870–1137 834–1173 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.33 70.30–78.36 69.01–79.65 | 71.16 66.83–75.48 65.52–76.79 | — | 64% 32% |
| Fouls | 9.98 7.14–12.81 6.38–13.57 | 13.14 10.20–16.09 9.45–16.84 | 23.12 17.34–28.90 15.83–30.41 | 22% 71% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.15 | 1.80 0.71–2.90 0.42–3.18 | 3.49 1.24–5.75 0.65–6.34 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.37 0.32–2.42 0.05–2.68 | 2.46 1.33–3.58 1.03–3.88 | 3.82 1.64–6.00 1.09–6.56 | 20% 19% 61% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.62 1.18–4.05 0.79–4.44 | 4.46 2.90–6.01 2.48–6.44 | 7.07 4.08–10.07 3.27–10.88 | 19% 69% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.