La Liga·Regular Season - 13·
La Liga·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
25%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.011.552.56safe0.04–1.980.70–2.410.74–4.39safer0.00–2.230.47–2.640.26–4.87
Shots on target
33%
13%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.944.708.64safe2.08–5.802.96–6.445.03–12.24safer1.59–6.292.49–6.914.08–13.20
Total shots
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7713.3326.11safe8.85–16.709.77–16.9018.62–33.59safer7.76–17.798.81–17.8616.57–35.64
Shots in box
40%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction7.768.2616.02safe4.82–10.705.58–10.9410.39–21.64safer3.99–11.534.84–11.688.83–23.21
Blocked shots
34%
15%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.193.756.94safe1.31–5.072.10–5.403.40–10.47safer0.76–5.611.60–5.892.37–11.51
Corners
41%
13%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.734.919.64safe2.51–6.942.91–6.915.43–13.85safer1.94–7.512.38–7.454.32–14.96
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction39.1461.69safe32.34–45.9354.90–68.47safer30.68–47.6053.23–70.15
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction350551902safe283–418485–618768–1035safer265–436467–635732–1071
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction63.8075.02safe59.77–67.8370.69–79.34safer58.48–69.1269.38–80.65
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0012.5325.53safe10.16–15.849.58–15.4719.75–31.31safer9.41–16.608.83–16.2218.24–32.82
Offsides
62%
17%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.841.684.53safe1.68–4.000.59–2.782.27–6.78safer1.38–4.300.30–3.061.68–7.37
Yellow cards
42%
19%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.292.184.48safe1.25–3.341.06–3.312.30–6.66safer0.98–3.610.76–3.601.74–7.21
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.110.22safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.85
GK saves
46%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.222.936.15safe1.79–4.661.37–4.493.16–9.14safer1.40–5.050.95–4.912.35–9.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.01 0.04–1.98 0.00–2.23 | 1.55 0.70–2.41 0.47–2.64 | 2.56 0.74–4.39 0.26–4.87 | 25% 25% 50% |
| Shots on target | 3.94 2.08–5.80 1.59–6.29 | 4.70 2.96–6.44 2.49–6.91 | 8.64 5.03–12.24 4.08–13.20 | 33% 13% 53% |
| Total shots | 12.77 8.85–16.70 7.76–17.79 | 13.33 9.77–16.90 8.81–17.86 | 26.11 18.62–33.59 16.57–35.64 | 42% 50% |
| Shots in box | 7.76 4.82–10.70 3.99–11.53 | 8.26 5.58–10.94 4.84–11.68 | 16.02 10.39–21.64 8.83–23.21 | 40% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 3.19 1.31–5.07 0.76–5.61 | 3.75 2.10–5.40 1.60–5.89 | 6.94 3.40–10.47 2.37–11.51 | 34% 15% 51% |
| Corners | 4.73 2.51–6.94 1.94–7.51 | 4.91 2.91–6.91 2.38–7.45 | 9.64 5.43–13.85 4.32–14.96 | 41% 13% 46% |
| Possession % | 39.14 32.34–45.93 30.68–47.60 | 61.69 54.90–68.47 53.23–70.15 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 350 283–418 265–436 | 551 485–618 467–635 | 902 768–1035 732–1071 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.80 59.77–67.83 58.48–69.12 | 75.02 70.69–79.34 69.38–80.65 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 13.00 10.16–15.84 9.41–16.60 | 12.53 9.58–15.47 8.83–16.22 | 25.53 19.75–31.31 18.24–32.82 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 2.84 1.68–4.00 1.38–4.30 | 1.68 0.59–2.78 0.30–3.06 | 4.53 2.27–6.78 1.68–7.37 | 62% 17% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 2.29 1.25–3.34 0.98–3.61 | 2.18 1.06–3.31 0.76–3.60 | 4.48 2.30–6.66 1.74–7.21 | 42% 19% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.22 1.79–4.66 1.40–5.05 | 2.93 1.37–4.49 0.95–4.91 | 6.15 3.16–9.14 2.35–9.96 | 46% 16% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.