La Liga·Regular Season - 14·
La Liga·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
25%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.432.77safe0.37–2.310.58–2.290.95–4.60safer0.12–2.560.35–2.510.47–5.08
Shots on target
39%
13%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.494.839.32safe2.63–6.353.09–6.575.71–12.92safer2.14–6.842.62–7.044.76–13.88
Total shots
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8813.2326.11safe8.95–16.809.67–16.7918.62–33.59safer7.86–17.898.71–17.7516.57–35.64
Shots in box
42%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction8.719.0217.73safe5.76–11.656.34–11.7112.11–23.36safer4.94–12.485.61–12.4410.54–24.92
Blocked shots
37%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.804.218.01safe1.91–5.682.56–5.864.47–11.54safer1.37–6.222.06–6.353.43–12.58
Corners
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.004.839.83safe2.79–7.222.83–6.835.62–14.05safer2.22–7.792.30–7.364.51–15.15
Possession %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction47.1754.37safe40.38–53.9647.58–61.15safer38.71–55.6345.91–62.83
Passes
30%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction462524987safe395–530458–591853–1120safer377–548440–608817–1156
Pass accuracy %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction68.8876.44safe64.85–72.9172.11–80.76safer63.56–74.2070.80–82.07
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7512.0824.83safe9.91–15.589.14–15.0319.04–30.61safer9.15–16.348.39–15.7717.54–32.11
Offsides
44%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.443.14safe0.53–2.860.35–2.530.88–5.39safer0.23–3.160.06–2.820.29–5.98
Yellow cards
39%
20%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.082.124.20safe1.03–3.130.99–3.252.02–6.38safer0.77–3.400.70–3.541.46–6.93
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
46%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.192.946.13safe1.76–4.631.38–4.493.14–9.12safer1.37–5.020.96–4.922.33–9.94
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.31 0.12–2.56 | 1.43 0.58–2.29 0.35–2.51 | 2.77 0.95–4.60 0.47–5.08 | 35% 25% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.49 2.63–6.35 2.14–6.84 | 4.83 3.09–6.57 2.62–7.04 | 9.32 5.71–12.92 4.76–13.88 | 39% 13% 48% |
| Total shots | 12.88 8.95–16.80 7.86–17.89 | 13.23 9.67–16.79 8.71–17.75 | 26.11 18.62–33.59 16.57–35.64 | 43% 49% |
| Shots in box | 8.71 5.76–11.65 4.94–12.48 | 9.02 6.34–11.71 5.61–12.44 | 17.73 12.11–23.36 10.54–24.92 | 42% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 3.80 1.91–5.68 1.37–6.22 | 4.21 2.56–5.86 2.06–6.35 | 8.01 4.47–11.54 3.43–12.58 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Corners | 5.00 2.79–7.22 2.22–7.79 | 4.83 2.83–6.83 2.30–7.36 | 9.83 5.62–14.05 4.51–15.15 | 46% 41% |
| Possession % | 47.17 40.38–53.96 38.71–55.63 | 54.37 47.58–61.15 45.91–62.83 | — | 31% 64% |
| Passes | 462 395–530 377–548 | 524 458–591 440–608 | 987 853–1120 817–1156 | 30% 70% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.88 64.85–72.91 63.56–74.20 | 76.44 72.11–80.76 70.80–82.07 | — | 15% 82% |
| Fouls | 12.75 9.91–15.58 9.15–16.34 | 12.08 9.14–15.03 8.39–15.77 | 24.83 19.04–30.61 17.54–32.11 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.53–2.86 0.23–3.16 | 1.44 0.35–2.53 0.06–2.82 | 3.14 0.88–5.39 0.29–5.98 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 2.08 1.03–3.13 0.77–3.40 | 2.12 0.99–3.25 0.70–3.54 | 4.20 2.02–6.38 1.46–6.93 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.19 1.76–4.63 1.37–5.02 | 2.94 1.38–4.49 0.96–4.92 | 6.13 3.14–9.12 2.33–9.94 | 46% 16% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+