Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
28%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.340.982.32safe0.37–2.310.12–1.830.49–4.14safer0.12–2.560.00–2.060.01–4.62
Shots on target
56%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.503.558.05safe2.64–6.361.81–5.294.45–11.66safer2.15–6.851.34–5.763.49–12.62
Total shots
70%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3311.1325.47safe10.41–18.267.57–14.6917.98–32.95safer9.32–19.356.61–15.6515.93–35.00
Shots in box
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction9.116.6615.76safe6.16–12.053.98–9.3410.14–21.39safer5.33–12.883.24–10.088.57–22.95
Blocked shots
66%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.362.727.09safe2.48–6.241.07–4.383.55–10.62safer1.94–6.790.58–4.872.51–11.66
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.013.799.80safe3.80–8.231.79–5.795.59–14.02safer3.23–8.801.25–6.324.48–15.12
Possession %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction56.2543.27safe49.46–63.0436.48–50.05safer47.79–64.7134.81–51.72
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction457319776safe390–524253–386642–910safer372–542235–403607–946
Pass accuracy %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction66.4465.60safe62.41–70.4761.27–69.92safer61.11–71.7659.96–71.23
Fouls
48%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8014.5729.37safe11.96–17.6311.63–17.5223.59–35.15safer11.20–18.3910.88–18.2722.08–36.66
Offsides
49%
24%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.252.99safe0.58–2.900.16–2.350.74–5.25safer0.28–3.200.00–2.630.15–5.83
Yellow cards
34%
19%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.192.594.78safe1.14–3.241.46–3.722.61–6.96safer0.88–3.511.17–4.012.05–7.52
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.130.22safe0.00–0.250.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.400.00–0.450.00–0.85
GK saves
31%
17%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.503.185.67safe1.06–3.931.62–4.732.68–8.66safer0.67–4.321.19–5.161.87–9.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.31 0.12–2.56 | 0.98 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 2.32 0.49–4.14 0.01–4.62 | 45% 28% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.50 2.64–6.36 2.15–6.85 | 3.55 1.81–5.29 1.34–5.76 | 8.05 4.45–11.66 3.49–12.62 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Total shots | 14.33 10.41–18.26 9.32–19.35 | 11.13 7.57–14.69 6.61–15.65 | 25.47 17.98–32.95 15.93–35.00 | 70% 23% |
| Shots in box | 9.11 6.16–12.05 5.33–12.88 | 6.66 3.98–9.34 3.24–10.08 | 15.76 10.14–21.39 8.57–22.95 | 69% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 4.36 2.48–6.24 1.94–6.79 | 2.72 1.07–4.38 0.58–4.87 | 7.09 3.55–10.62 2.51–11.66 | 66% 21% |
| Corners | 6.01 3.80–8.23 3.23–8.80 | 3.79 1.79–5.79 1.25–6.32 | 9.80 5.59–14.02 4.48–15.12 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 56.25 49.46–63.04 47.79–64.71 | 43.27 36.48–50.05 34.81–51.72 | — | 76% 20% |
| Passes | 457 390–524 372–542 | 319 253–386 235–403 | 776 642–910 607–946 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.44 62.41–70.47 61.11–71.76 | 65.60 61.27–69.92 59.96–71.23 | — | 52% 43% |
| Fouls | 14.80 11.96–17.63 11.20–18.39 | 14.57 11.63–17.52 10.88–18.27 | 29.37 23.59–35.15 22.08–36.66 | 48% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 1.25 0.16–2.35 0.00–2.63 | 2.99 0.74–5.25 0.15–5.83 | 49% 24% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 2.19 1.14–3.24 0.88–3.51 | 2.59 1.46–3.72 1.17–4.01 | 4.78 2.61–6.96 2.05–7.52 | 34% 19% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.50 1.06–3.93 0.67–4.32 | 3.18 1.62–4.73 1.19–5.16 | 5.67 2.68–8.66 1.87–9.48 | 31% 17% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.