La Liga·Regular Season - 14·
La Liga·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction0.882.533.41safe0.00–1.851.67–3.381.59–5.23safer0.00–2.101.44–3.611.11–5.71
Shots on target
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.456.039.47safe1.58–5.314.28–7.775.87–13.08safer1.10–5.803.82–8.234.91–14.03
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7416.0926.82safe6.81–14.6612.53–19.6519.34–34.31safer5.72–15.7511.57–20.6117.29–36.36
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.0110.7716.78safe3.07–8.958.09–13.4511.16–22.41safer2.24–9.787.36–14.199.59–23.97
Blocked shots
20%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.624.296.91safe0.74–4.502.64–5.953.38–10.45safer0.19–5.042.15–6.442.34–11.48
Corners
26%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction4.295.8410.13safe2.08–6.513.84–7.845.92–14.35safer1.51–7.083.30–8.374.81–15.45
Possession %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction42.7057.32safe35.91–49.4950.54–64.11safer34.24–51.1648.87–65.78
Passes
17%
82%
homeawaytotalprediction411524935safe344–479457–590801–1069safer326–497440–608766–1104
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction65.8975.61safe61.86–69.9271.29–79.94safer60.57–71.2169.98–81.25
Fouls
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5311.2323.77safe9.69–15.378.29–14.1817.98–29.55safer8.94–16.137.54–14.9316.48–31.05
Offsides
53%
18%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.762.074.83safe1.60–3.920.98–3.162.58–7.08safer1.30–4.220.69–3.451.99–7.67
Yellow cards
47%
21%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.141.783.92safe1.09–3.190.65–2.901.74–6.09safer0.83–3.460.35–3.201.18–6.65
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.260.00–0.52safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
62%
14%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.882.616.49safe2.45–5.321.06–4.173.50–9.49safer2.06–5.710.63–4.592.69–10.30
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.88 0.00–1.85 0.00–2.10 | 2.53 1.67–3.38 1.44–3.61 | 3.41 1.59–5.23 1.11–5.71 | 16% 73% |
| Shots on target | 3.45 1.58–5.31 1.10–5.80 | 6.03 4.28–7.77 3.82–8.23 | 9.47 5.87–13.08 4.91–14.03 | 16% 75% |
| Total shots | 10.74 6.81–14.66 5.72–15.75 | 16.09 12.53–19.65 11.57–20.61 | 26.82 19.34–34.31 17.29–36.36 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 6.01 3.07–8.95 2.24–9.78 | 10.77 8.09–13.45 7.36–14.19 | 16.78 11.16–22.41 9.59–23.97 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 2.62 0.74–4.50 0.19–5.04 | 4.29 2.64–5.95 2.15–6.44 | 6.91 3.38–10.45 2.34–11.48 | 20% 67% |
| Corners | 4.29 2.08–6.51 1.51–7.08 | 5.84 3.84–7.84 3.30–8.37 | 10.13 5.92–14.35 4.81–15.45 | 26% 63% |
| Possession % | 42.70 35.91–49.49 34.24–51.16 | 57.32 50.54–64.11 48.87–65.78 | — | 18% 79% |
| Passes | 411 344–479 326–497 | 524 457–590 440–608 | 935 801–1069 766–1104 | 17% 82% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.89 61.86–69.92 60.57–71.21 | 75.61 71.29–79.94 69.98–81.25 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 12.53 9.69–15.37 8.94–16.13 | 11.23 8.29–14.18 7.54–14.93 | 23.77 17.98–29.55 16.48–31.05 | 56% 36% |
| Offsides | 2.76 1.60–3.92 1.30–4.22 | 2.07 0.98–3.16 0.69–3.45 | 4.83 2.58–7.08 1.99–7.67 | 53% 18% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 2.14 1.09–3.19 0.83–3.46 | 1.78 0.65–2.90 0.35–3.20 | 3.92 1.74–6.09 1.18–6.65 | 47% 21% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.88 2.45–5.32 2.06–5.71 | 2.61 1.06–4.17 0.63–4.59 | 6.49 3.50–9.49 2.69–10.30 | 62% 14% 24% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.