La Liga·Regular Season - 14·
La Liga·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.480.763.24safe1.51–3.450.00–1.611.42–5.06safer1.26–3.700.00–1.840.94–5.54
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.302.9010.19safe5.43–9.161.16–4.646.59–13.80safer4.94–9.650.69–5.115.63–14.75
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction19.429.2728.69safe15.50–23.355.71–12.8321.20–36.18safer14.41–24.444.75–13.7919.15–38.23
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction12.636.0518.68safe9.69–15.583.37–8.7313.06–24.31safer8.86–16.412.63–9.4711.49–25.87
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction4.752.257.00safe2.86–6.630.60–3.913.46–10.53safer2.32–7.170.11–4.402.43–11.57
Corners
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.662.9810.64safe5.45–9.870.98–4.986.43–14.86safer4.87–10.450.45–5.525.32–15.96
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction65.0235.28safe58.23–71.8128.50–42.07safer56.56–73.4826.83–43.74
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction625321946safe558–693254–387813–1080safer540–711237–405777–1116
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction75.6066.33safe71.57–79.6362.01–70.66safer70.27–80.9260.70–71.97
Fouls
21%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2813.6723.95safe7.44–13.1110.73–16.6218.16–29.73safer6.68–13.879.98–17.3616.66–31.23
Offsides
52%
19%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.431.784.22safe1.27–3.590.69–2.881.96–6.47safer0.97–3.890.40–3.171.37–7.06
Yellow cards
20%
18%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.412.533.94safe0.36–2.461.40–3.651.76–6.12safer0.10–2.731.11–3.951.20–6.67
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.130.19safe0.00–0.230.00–0.310.00–0.54safer0.00–0.370.00–0.450.00–0.82
GK saves
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.284.426.70safe0.85–3.722.86–5.973.71–9.69safer0.46–4.112.44–6.402.89–10.50
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.48 1.51–3.45 1.26–3.70 | 0.76 0.00–1.61 0.00–1.84 | 3.24 1.42–5.06 0.94–5.54 | 75% 16% |
| Shots on target | 7.30 5.43–9.16 4.94–9.65 | 2.90 1.16–4.64 0.69–5.11 | 10.19 6.59–13.80 5.63–14.75 | 89% |
| Total shots | 19.42 15.50–23.35 14.41–24.44 | 9.27 5.71–12.83 4.75–13.79 | 28.69 21.20–36.18 19.15–38.23 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 12.63 9.69–15.58 8.86–16.41 | 6.05 3.37–8.73 2.63–9.47 | 18.68 13.06–24.31 11.49–25.87 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 4.75 2.86–6.63 2.32–7.17 | 2.25 0.60–3.91 0.11–4.40 | 7.00 3.46–10.53 2.43–11.57 | 78% |
| Corners | 7.66 5.45–9.87 4.87–10.45 | 2.98 0.98–4.98 0.45–5.52 | 10.64 6.43–14.86 5.32–15.96 | 90% |
| Possession % | 65.02 58.23–71.81 56.56–73.48 | 35.28 28.50–42.07 26.83–43.74 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 625 558–693 540–711 | 321 254–387 237–405 | 946 813–1080 777–1116 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.60 71.57–79.63 70.27–80.92 | 66.33 62.01–70.66 60.70–71.97 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 10.28 7.44–13.11 6.68–13.87 | 13.67 10.73–16.62 9.98–17.36 | 23.95 18.16–29.73 16.66–31.23 | 21% 72% |
| Offsides | 2.43 1.27–3.59 0.97–3.89 | 1.78 0.69–2.88 0.40–3.17 | 4.22 1.96–6.47 1.37–7.06 | 52% 19% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.41 0.36–2.46 0.10–2.73 | 2.53 1.40–3.65 1.11–3.95 | 3.94 1.76–6.12 1.20–6.67 | 20% 18% 62% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.37 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.28 0.85–3.72 0.46–4.11 | 4.42 2.86–5.97 2.44–6.40 | 6.70 3.71–9.69 2.89–10.50 | 15% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.