Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
28%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.072.29safe0.25–2.190.21–1.920.46–4.11safer0.00–2.440.00–2.150.00–4.59
Shots on target
49%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.123.657.78safe2.26–5.991.91–5.404.17–11.38safer1.77–6.481.45–5.863.22–12.34
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3111.0424.35safe9.39–17.247.48–14.6016.87–31.84safer8.30–18.336.52–15.5614.81–33.89
Shots in box
54%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction8.407.4615.86safe5.46–11.344.78–10.1410.24–21.49safer4.63–12.174.04–10.888.67–23.05
Blocked shots
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.133.157.28safe2.24–6.011.50–4.803.74–10.81safer1.70–6.551.00–5.292.71–11.85
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.633.949.57safe3.41–7.841.94–5.945.35–13.78safer2.84–8.411.41–6.474.25–14.89
Possession %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction56.7244.77safe49.93–63.5137.98–51.55safer48.26–65.1836.31–53.23
Passes
82%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction488377865safe421–556310–443732–999safer403–574293–461696–1035
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction69.4368.21safe65.40–73.4663.88–72.53safer64.11–74.7562.58–73.84
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7513.0125.77safe9.92–15.5910.07–15.9619.98–31.55safer9.16–16.359.32–16.7118.48–33.05
Offsides
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.532.013.54safe0.37–2.690.92–3.111.29–5.80safer0.07–2.990.63–3.400.70–6.38
Yellow cards
31%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.832.314.14safe0.79–2.881.18–3.441.96–6.32safer0.52–3.150.89–3.731.41–6.88
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
30%
17%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.373.045.41safe0.94–3.811.49–4.602.42–8.41safer0.55–4.201.06–5.021.61–9.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.25–2.19 0.00–2.44 | 1.07 0.21–1.92 0.00–2.15 | 2.29 0.46–4.11 0.00–4.59 | 40% 28% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.12 2.26–5.99 1.77–6.48 | 3.65 1.91–5.40 1.45–5.86 | 7.78 4.17–11.38 3.22–12.34 | 49% 14% 36% |
| Total shots | 13.31 9.39–17.24 8.30–18.33 | 11.04 7.48–14.60 6.52–15.56 | 24.35 16.87–31.84 14.81–33.89 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 8.40 5.46–11.34 4.63–12.17 | 7.46 4.78–10.14 4.04–10.88 | 15.86 10.24–21.49 8.67–23.05 | 54% 36% |
| Blocked shots | 4.13 2.24–6.01 1.70–6.55 | 3.15 1.50–4.80 1.00–5.29 | 7.28 3.74–10.81 2.71–11.85 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Corners | 5.63 3.41–7.84 2.84–8.41 | 3.94 1.94–5.94 1.41–6.47 | 9.57 5.35–13.78 4.25–14.89 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 56.72 49.93–63.51 48.26–65.18 | 44.77 37.98–51.55 36.31–53.23 | — | 74% 22% |
| Passes | 488 421–556 403–574 | 377 310–443 293–461 | 865 732–999 696–1035 | 82% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.43 65.40–73.46 64.11–74.75 | 68.21 63.88–72.53 62.58–73.84 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 12.75 9.92–15.59 9.16–16.35 | 13.01 10.07–15.96 9.32–16.71 | 25.77 19.98–31.55 18.48–33.05 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.53 0.37–2.69 0.07–2.99 | 2.01 0.92–3.11 0.63–3.40 | 3.54 1.29–5.80 0.70–6.38 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.79–2.88 0.52–3.15 | 2.31 1.18–3.44 0.89–3.73 | 4.14 1.96–6.32 1.41–6.88 | 31% 20% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.37 0.94–3.81 0.55–4.20 | 3.04 1.49–4.60 1.06–5.02 | 5.41 2.42–8.41 1.61–9.22 | 30% 17% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.