Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
28%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.171.142.31safe0.21–2.140.28–1.990.49–4.13safer0.00–2.390.05–2.220.01–4.61
Shots on target
45%
15%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.813.667.47safe1.94–5.671.92–5.413.86–11.07safer1.45–6.161.46–5.872.91–12.03
Total shots
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7411.1223.86safe8.82–16.677.56–14.6816.37–31.35safer7.73–17.766.60–15.6414.32–33.40
Shots in box
56%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction8.227.1015.32safe5.28–11.164.42–9.789.70–20.95safer4.45–11.993.68–10.528.13–22.51
Blocked shots
45%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.283.096.37safe1.40–5.161.44–4.752.84–9.91safer0.86–5.710.95–5.241.80–10.95
Corners
48%
13%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.714.339.03safe2.49–6.922.33–6.334.82–13.24safer1.92–7.491.79–6.863.71–14.35
Possession %
44%
52%
homeawayprediction49.3050.97safe42.51–56.0944.19–57.76safer40.84–57.7642.51–59.43
Passes
45%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction378393770safe311–445326–459637–904safer292–463309–476601–940
Pass accuracy %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction64.8968.24safe60.87–68.9263.92–72.57safer59.57–70.2262.61–73.87
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0514.5628.61safe11.21–16.8911.61–17.5022.83–34.39safer10.46–17.6410.87–18.2521.32–35.90
Offsides
28%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.562.173.72safe0.40–2.721.07–3.261.47–5.98safer0.09–3.020.78–3.550.88–6.56
Yellow cards
42%
19%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.452.404.85safe1.40–3.501.27–3.532.67–7.03safer1.13–3.770.98–3.822.11–7.58
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.120.24safe0.00–0.270.00–0.310.00–0.58safer0.00–0.420.00–0.440.00–0.87
GK saves
39%
18%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.542.695.23safe1.10–3.981.13–4.242.23–8.22safer0.72–4.360.71–4.671.42–9.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 0.21–2.14 0.00–2.39 | 1.14 0.28–1.99 0.05–2.22 | 2.31 0.49–4.13 0.01–4.61 | 37% 28% 35% |
| Shots on target | 3.81 1.94–5.67 1.45–6.16 | 3.66 1.92–5.41 1.46–5.87 | 7.47 3.86–11.07 2.91–12.03 | 45% 15% 41% |
| Total shots | 12.74 8.82–16.67 7.73–17.76 | 11.12 7.56–14.68 6.60–15.64 | 23.86 16.37–31.35 14.32–33.40 | 59% 33% |
| Shots in box | 8.22 5.28–11.16 4.45–11.99 | 7.10 4.42–9.78 3.68–10.52 | 15.32 9.70–20.95 8.13–22.51 | 56% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 3.28 1.40–5.16 0.86–5.71 | 3.09 1.44–4.75 0.95–5.24 | 6.37 2.84–9.91 1.80–10.95 | 45% 16% 39% |
| Corners | 4.71 2.49–6.92 1.92–7.49 | 4.33 2.33–6.33 1.79–6.86 | 9.03 4.82–13.24 3.71–14.35 | 48% 13% 38% |
| Possession % | 49.30 42.51–56.09 40.84–57.76 | 50.97 44.19–57.76 42.51–59.43 | — | 44% 52% |
| Passes | 378 311–445 292–463 | 393 326–459 309–476 | 770 637–904 601–940 | 45% 55% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.89 60.87–68.92 59.57–70.22 | 68.24 63.92–72.57 62.61–73.87 | — | 31% 64% |
| Fouls | 14.05 11.21–16.89 10.46–17.64 | 14.56 11.61–17.50 10.87–18.25 | 28.61 22.83–34.39 21.32–35.90 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.09–3.02 | 2.17 1.07–3.26 0.78–3.55 | 3.72 1.47–5.98 0.88–6.56 | 28% 21% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 2.45 1.40–3.50 1.13–3.77 | 2.40 1.27–3.53 0.98–3.82 | 4.85 2.67–7.03 2.11–7.58 | 42% 19% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.54 1.10–3.98 0.72–4.36 | 2.69 1.13–4.24 0.71–4.67 | 5.23 2.23–8.22 1.42–9.03 | 39% 18% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+