La Liga·Regular Season - 15·
La Liga·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
84%
homeawaytotalprediction3.170.783.95safe2.21–4.140.00–1.632.13–5.77safer1.96–4.390.00–1.861.65–6.25
Shots on target
94%
homeawaytotalprediction8.212.6410.86safe6.35–10.080.90–4.397.25–14.46safer5.86–10.570.44–4.856.30–15.42
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.547.0127.55safe16.61–24.463.45–10.5820.07–35.04safer15.52–25.562.49–11.5418.02–37.09
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction13.724.6018.32safe10.78–16.661.92–7.2812.70–23.94safer9.95–17.491.18–8.0211.13–25.51
Blocked shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction5.531.276.80safe3.64–7.410.00–2.933.26–10.34safer3.10–7.950.00–3.422.23–11.37
Corners
93%
homeawaytotalprediction7.912.6810.60safe5.70–10.130.68–4.686.38–14.81safer5.13–10.700.15–5.225.28–15.92
Possession %
100%
homeawayprediction72.3827.25safe65.59–79.1720.46–34.03safer63.92–80.8418.79–35.70
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7763031079safe708–843237–370945–1213safer690–861219–387910–1248
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction83.7167.11safe79.68–87.7462.78–71.43safer78.39–89.0361.47–72.74
Fouls
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction9.3311.6420.97safe6.49–12.178.70–14.5915.19–26.76safer5.74–12.927.95–15.3413.69–28.26
Offsides
16%
13%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction1.833.605.43safe0.67–2.992.51–4.693.17–7.68safer0.37–3.292.22–4.982.58–8.27
Yellow cards
17%
20%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.012.153.17safe0.00–2.061.03–3.280.99–5.35safer0.00–2.330.73–3.570.43–5.90
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
85%
homeawaytotalprediction1.885.026.89safe0.44–3.313.46–6.573.90–9.88safer0.05–3.703.04–7.003.09–10.70
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.17 2.21–4.14 1.96–4.39 | 0.78 0.00–1.63 0.00–1.86 | 3.95 2.13–5.77 1.65–6.25 | 84% |
| Shots on target | 8.21 6.35–10.08 5.86–10.57 | 2.64 0.90–4.39 0.44–4.85 | 10.86 7.25–14.46 6.30–15.42 | 94% |
| Total shots | 20.54 16.61–24.46 15.52–25.56 | 7.01 3.45–10.58 2.49–11.54 | 27.55 20.07–35.04 18.02–37.09 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.72 10.78–16.66 9.95–17.49 | 4.60 1.92–7.28 1.18–8.02 | 18.32 12.70–23.94 11.13–25.51 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 5.53 3.64–7.41 3.10–7.95 | 1.27 0.00–2.93 0.00–3.42 | 6.80 3.26–10.34 2.23–11.37 | 93% |
| Corners | 7.91 5.70–10.13 5.13–10.70 | 2.68 0.68–4.68 0.15–5.22 | 10.60 6.38–14.81 5.28–15.92 | 93% |
| Possession % | 72.38 65.59–79.17 63.92–80.84 | 27.25 20.46–34.03 18.79–35.70 | — | 100% |
| Passes | 776 708–843 690–861 | 303 237–370 219–387 | 1079 945–1213 910–1248 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.71 79.68–87.74 78.39–89.03 | 67.11 62.78–71.43 61.47–72.74 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 9.33 6.49–12.17 5.74–12.92 | 11.64 8.70–14.59 7.95–15.34 | 20.97 15.19–26.76 13.69–28.26 | 27% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 3.60 2.51–4.69 2.22–4.98 | 5.43 3.17–7.68 2.58–8.27 | 16% 13% 71% |
| Yellow cards | 1.01 0.00–2.06 0.00–2.33 | 2.15 1.03–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 3.17 0.99–5.35 0.43–5.90 | 17% 20% 63% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 1.88 0.44–3.31 0.05–3.70 | 5.02 3.46–6.57 3.04–7.00 | 6.89 3.90–9.88 3.09–10.70 | 85% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.