Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
28%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.271.022.29safe0.30–2.240.17–1.880.47–4.11safer0.05–2.490.00–2.100.00–4.59
Shots on target
56%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.433.497.92safe2.57–6.301.75–5.234.32–11.53safer2.08–6.791.28–5.703.36–12.48
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6910.6526.33safe11.76–19.617.08–14.2118.84–33.82safer10.67–20.706.12–15.1716.79–35.87
Shots in box
71%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction9.556.8416.39safe6.61–12.494.16–9.5210.77–22.01safer5.78–13.323.42–10.269.20–23.58
Blocked shots
55%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.133.267.39safe2.25–6.021.60–4.913.86–10.93safer1.71–6.561.11–5.402.82–11.96
Corners
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.264.529.78safe3.04–7.472.52–6.525.56–13.99safer2.47–8.041.99–7.054.46–15.10
Possession %
24%
73%
homeawayprediction44.2355.44safe37.44–51.0248.66–62.23safer35.77–52.6946.99–63.90
Passes
22%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction367458825safe300–435392–525692–959safer282–453374–542656–995
Pass accuracy %
15%
81%
homeawayprediction63.6971.07safe59.66–67.7266.74–75.39safer58.37–69.0165.44–76.70
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5512.6525.20safe9.71–15.389.71–15.6019.42–30.98safer8.95–16.148.96–16.3517.91–32.49
Offsides
49%
21%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.543.56safe0.86–3.180.45–2.631.31–5.81safer0.56–3.480.16–2.920.72–6.40
Yellow cards
39%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.953.88safe0.87–2.970.82–3.081.70–6.05safer0.61–3.240.53–3.371.14–6.61
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.110.22safe0.00–0.270.00–0.300.00–0.57safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.85
GK saves
33%
17%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.633.185.82safe1.20–4.071.63–4.742.82–8.81safer0.81–4.461.20–5.162.01–9.62
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.27 0.30–2.24 0.05–2.49 | 1.02 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.10 | 2.29 0.47–4.11 0.00–4.59 | 42% 28% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.43 2.57–6.30 2.08–6.79 | 3.49 1.75–5.23 1.28–5.70 | 7.92 4.32–11.53 3.36–12.48 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Total shots | 15.69 11.76–19.61 10.67–20.70 | 10.65 7.08–14.21 6.12–15.17 | 26.33 18.84–33.82 16.79–35.87 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 9.55 6.61–12.49 5.78–13.32 | 6.84 4.16–9.52 3.42–10.26 | 16.39 10.77–22.01 9.20–23.58 | 71% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.13 2.25–6.02 1.71–6.56 | 3.26 1.60–4.91 1.11–5.40 | 7.39 3.86–10.93 2.82–11.96 | 55% 14% 30% |
| Corners | 5.26 3.04–7.47 2.47–8.04 | 4.52 2.52–6.52 1.99–7.05 | 9.78 5.56–13.99 4.46–15.10 | 53% 34% |
| Possession % | 44.23 37.44–51.02 35.77–52.69 | 55.44 48.66–62.23 46.99–63.90 | — | 24% 73% |
| Passes | 367 300–435 282–453 | 458 392–525 374–542 | 825 692–959 656–995 | 22% 77% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.69 59.66–67.72 58.37–69.01 | 71.07 66.74–75.39 65.44–76.70 | — | 15% 81% |
| Fouls | 12.55 9.71–15.38 8.95–16.14 | 12.65 9.71–15.60 8.96–16.35 | 25.20 19.42–30.98 17.91–32.49 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 2.02 0.86–3.18 0.56–3.48 | 1.54 0.45–2.63 0.16–2.92 | 3.56 1.31–5.81 0.72–6.40 | 49% 21% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.87–2.97 0.61–3.24 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 3.88 1.70–6.05 1.14–6.61 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.63 1.20–4.07 0.81–4.46 | 3.18 1.63–4.74 1.20–5.16 | 5.82 2.82–8.81 2.01–9.62 | 33% 17% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+