Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
27%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.322.46safe0.18–2.110.46–2.170.64–4.29safer0.00–2.370.24–2.400.16–4.77
Shots on target
33%
14%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.644.378.02safe1.78–5.512.63–6.124.41–11.62safer1.29–6.002.17–6.583.46–12.58
Total shots
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3113.0824.39safe7.39–15.249.52–16.6416.90–31.88safer6.29–16.338.56–17.6014.85–33.93
Shots in box
45%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction7.647.6615.30safe4.70–10.594.98–10.349.68–20.92safer3.87–11.414.24–11.088.11–22.49
Blocked shots
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.953.456.40safe1.07–4.841.80–5.102.87–9.94safer0.53–5.381.31–5.601.83–10.98
Corners
32%
13%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.964.818.77safe1.75–6.182.81–6.814.56–12.99safer1.18–6.752.28–7.343.45–14.10
Possession %
14%
84%
homeawayprediction41.5859.11safe34.79–48.3752.33–65.90safer33.12–50.0450.66–67.57
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction360512872safe293–428445–578739–1006safer275–446428–596703–1042
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction62.2974.45safe58.26–66.3270.13–78.78safer56.97–67.6268.82–80.09
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7514.3129.06safe11.91–17.5811.37–17.2623.27–34.84safer11.15–18.3410.62–18.0021.77–36.34
Offsides
71%
15%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction3.061.364.43safe1.90–4.220.27–2.462.17–6.68safer1.60–4.520.00–2.741.58–7.27
Yellow cards
47%
17%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.902.555.45safe1.85–3.951.42–3.683.27–7.62safer1.58–4.211.13–3.972.71–8.18
Red cards
14%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction0.170.130.31safe0.01–0.330.00–0.320.00–0.65safer0.00–0.480.00–0.450.00–0.94
GK saves
47%
17%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.872.535.40safe1.44–4.310.97–4.092.41–8.39safer1.05–4.700.55–4.511.60–9.21
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.18–2.11 0.00–2.37 | 1.32 0.46–2.17 0.24–2.40 | 2.46 0.64–4.29 0.16–4.77 | 32% 27% 41% |
| Shots on target | 3.64 1.78–5.51 1.29–6.00 | 4.37 2.63–6.12 2.17–6.58 | 8.02 4.41–11.62 3.46–12.58 | 33% 14% 53% |
| Total shots | 11.31 7.39–15.24 6.29–16.33 | 13.08 9.52–16.64 8.56–17.60 | 24.39 16.90–31.88 14.85–33.93 | 32% 60% |
| Shots in box | 7.64 4.70–10.59 3.87–11.41 | 7.66 4.98–10.34 4.24–11.08 | 15.30 9.68–20.92 8.11–22.49 | 45% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 2.95 1.07–4.84 0.53–5.38 | 3.45 1.80–5.10 1.31–5.60 | 6.40 2.87–9.94 1.83–10.98 | 34% 16% 50% |
| Corners | 3.96 1.75–6.18 1.18–6.75 | 4.81 2.81–6.81 2.28–7.34 | 8.77 4.56–12.99 3.45–14.10 | 32% 13% 55% |
| Possession % | 41.58 34.79–48.37 33.12–50.04 | 59.11 52.33–65.90 50.66–67.57 | — | 14% 84% |
| Passes | 360 293–428 275–446 | 512 445–578 428–596 | 872 739–1006 703–1042 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.29 58.26–66.32 56.97–67.62 | 74.45 70.13–78.78 68.82–80.09 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 14.75 11.91–17.58 11.15–18.34 | 14.31 11.37–17.26 10.62–18.00 | 29.06 23.27–34.84 21.77–36.34 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 3.06 1.90–4.22 1.60–4.52 | 1.36 0.27–2.46 0.00–2.74 | 4.43 2.17–6.68 1.58–7.27 | 71% 15% 14% |
| Yellow cards | 2.90 1.85–3.95 1.58–4.21 | 2.55 1.42–3.68 1.13–3.97 | 5.45 3.27–7.62 2.71–8.18 | 47% 17% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.17 0.01–0.33 0.00–0.48 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.31 0.00–0.65 0.00–0.94 | 14% 75% |
| GK saves | 2.87 1.44–4.31 1.05–4.70 | 2.53 0.97–4.09 0.55–4.51 | 5.40 2.41–8.39 1.60–9.21 | 47% 17% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.