Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
25%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.630.832.46safe0.66–2.600.00–1.690.64–4.29safer0.41–2.850.00–1.920.16–4.77
Shots on target
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.152.988.13safe3.28–7.011.24–4.734.53–11.74safer2.80–7.500.78–5.193.57–12.69
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction16.558.8325.38safe12.62–20.475.27–12.4017.89–32.87safer11.53–21.564.31–13.3615.84–34.92
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction9.675.0914.77safe6.73–12.622.41–7.779.14–20.39safer5.90–13.441.67–8.517.58–21.96
Blocked shots
65%
14%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction3.852.366.21safe1.97–5.730.70–4.012.67–9.74safer1.43–6.280.21–4.501.64–10.78
Corners
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.853.859.70safe3.64–8.061.85–5.855.48–13.91safer3.06–8.641.31–6.384.38–15.02
Possession %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction50.6149.94safe43.82–57.4043.16–56.73safer42.15–59.0741.49–58.40
Passes
54%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction440428868safe373–508361–494734–1002safer355–526344–512699–1037
Pass accuracy %
46%
48%
homeawayprediction68.2368.43safe64.20–72.2664.11–72.76safer62.91–73.5562.80–74.07
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6915.4128.10safe9.85–15.5212.47–18.3622.32–33.88safer9.09–16.2811.72–19.1120.81–35.39
Offsides
47%
21%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.101.703.80safe0.94–3.260.61–2.801.55–6.05safer0.64–3.560.32–3.080.96–6.64
Yellow cards
25%
18%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.802.724.52safe0.75–2.851.59–3.852.35–6.70safer0.49–3.121.30–4.141.79–7.26
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.140.20safe0.00–0.220.00–0.330.00–0.55safer0.00–0.370.00–0.460.00–0.83
GK saves
20%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.103.565.66safe0.67–3.542.01–5.122.67–8.66safer0.28–3.931.58–5.541.86–9.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 0.66–2.60 0.41–2.85 | 0.83 0.00–1.69 0.00–1.92 | 2.46 0.64–4.29 0.16–4.77 | 56% 25% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.15 3.28–7.01 2.80–7.50 | 2.98 1.24–4.73 0.78–5.19 | 8.13 4.53–11.74 3.57–12.69 | 72% 17% |
| Total shots | 16.55 12.62–20.47 11.53–21.56 | 8.83 5.27–12.40 4.31–13.36 | 25.38 17.89–32.87 15.84–34.92 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 9.67 6.73–12.62 5.90–13.44 | 5.09 2.41–7.77 1.67–8.51 | 14.77 9.14–20.39 7.58–21.96 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 3.85 1.97–5.73 1.43–6.28 | 2.36 0.70–4.01 0.21–4.50 | 6.21 2.67–9.74 1.64–10.78 | 65% 14% 21% |
| Corners | 5.85 3.64–8.06 3.06–8.64 | 3.85 1.85–5.85 1.31–6.38 | 9.70 5.48–13.91 4.38–15.02 | 69% 21% |
| Possession % | 50.61 43.82–57.40 42.15–59.07 | 49.94 43.16–56.73 41.49–58.40 | — | 49% 46% |
| Passes | 440 373–508 355–526 | 428 361–494 344–512 | 868 734–1002 699–1037 | 54% 46% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.23 64.20–72.26 62.91–73.55 | 68.43 64.11–72.76 62.80–74.07 | — | 46% 48% |
| Fouls | 12.69 9.85–15.52 9.09–16.28 | 15.41 12.47–18.36 11.72–19.11 | 28.10 22.32–33.88 20.81–35.39 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 2.10 0.94–3.26 0.64–3.56 | 1.70 0.61–2.80 0.32–3.08 | 3.80 1.55–6.05 0.96–6.64 | 47% 21% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.49–3.12 | 2.72 1.59–3.85 1.30–4.14 | 4.52 2.35–6.70 1.79–7.26 | 25% 18% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.10 0.67–3.54 0.28–3.93 | 3.56 2.01–5.12 1.58–5.54 | 5.66 2.67–8.66 1.86–9.47 | 20% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.