La Liga·Regular Season - 16·
La Liga·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
81%
homeawaytotalprediction2.700.643.34safe1.73–3.660.00–1.501.52–5.16safer1.48–3.910.00–1.731.04–5.64
Shots on target
94%
homeawaytotalprediction7.632.4510.08safe5.77–9.490.71–4.206.48–13.69safer5.28–9.980.25–4.665.52–14.64
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction19.966.9326.89safe16.03–23.883.37–10.4919.40–34.37safer14.94–24.982.41–11.4517.35–36.42
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction14.114.4418.55safe11.17–17.061.76–7.1212.93–24.18safer10.34–17.891.02–7.8611.36–25.74
Blocked shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction5.401.887.28safe3.51–7.280.23–3.543.74–10.81safer2.97–7.820.00–4.032.71–11.85
Corners
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.382.8210.21safe5.17–9.600.82–4.825.99–14.42safer4.60–10.170.29–5.354.88–15.53
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.3937.42safe55.59–69.1830.63–44.20safer53.93–70.8528.96–45.87
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction632359991safe565–699293–426858–1125safer547–718275–443822–1161
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction78.4468.58safe74.42–82.4764.25–72.90safer73.12–83.7762.94–74.21
Fouls
42%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7210.1119.83safe6.89–12.567.16–13.0514.05–25.62safer6.13–13.326.42–13.8012.55–27.12
Offsides
58%
20%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.311.403.70safe1.15–3.470.30–2.491.45–5.96safer0.84–3.770.02–2.780.86–6.55
Yellow cards
21%
22%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.111.973.08safe0.07–2.160.84–3.100.90–5.26safer0.00–2.430.55–3.390.35–5.82
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
83%
homeawaytotalprediction1.764.666.42safe0.33–3.203.10–6.223.43–9.41safer0.00–3.592.68–6.642.62–10.23
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.70 1.73–3.66 1.48–3.91 | 0.64 0.00–1.50 0.00–1.73 | 3.34 1.52–5.16 1.04–5.64 | 81% |
| Shots on target | 7.63 5.77–9.49 5.28–9.98 | 2.45 0.71–4.20 0.25–4.66 | 10.08 6.48–13.69 5.52–14.64 | 94% |
| Total shots | 19.96 16.03–23.88 14.94–24.98 | 6.93 3.37–10.49 2.41–11.45 | 26.89 19.40–34.37 17.35–36.42 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 14.11 11.17–17.06 10.34–17.89 | 4.44 1.76–7.12 1.02–7.86 | 18.55 12.93–24.18 11.36–25.74 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 5.40 3.51–7.28 2.97–7.82 | 1.88 0.23–3.54 0.00–4.03 | 7.28 3.74–10.81 2.71–11.85 | 87% |
| Corners | 7.38 5.17–9.60 4.60–10.17 | 2.82 0.82–4.82 0.29–5.35 | 10.21 5.99–14.42 4.88–15.53 | 90% |
| Possession % | 62.39 55.59–69.18 53.93–70.85 | 37.42 30.63–44.20 28.96–45.87 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 632 565–699 547–718 | 359 293–426 275–443 | 991 858–1125 822–1161 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.44 74.42–82.47 73.12–83.77 | 68.58 64.25–72.90 62.94–74.21 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 9.72 6.89–12.56 6.13–13.32 | 10.11 7.16–13.05 6.42–13.80 | 19.83 14.05–25.62 12.55–27.12 | 42% 49% |
| Offsides | 2.31 1.15–3.47 0.84–3.77 | 1.40 0.30–2.49 0.02–2.78 | 3.70 1.45–5.96 0.86–6.55 | 58% 20% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.11 0.07–2.16 0.00–2.43 | 1.97 0.84–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 3.08 0.90–5.26 0.35–5.82 | 21% 22% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 1.76 0.33–3.20 0.00–3.59 | 4.66 3.10–6.22 2.68–6.64 | 6.42 3.43–9.41 2.62–10.23 | 83% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+