La Liga·Regular Season - 16·
La Liga·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
79%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.860.853.70safe1.89–3.830.00–1.701.88–5.53safer1.64–4.080.00–1.931.40–6.01
Shots on target
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.823.1010.93safe5.96–9.691.36–4.847.32–14.53safer5.47–10.180.89–5.316.37–15.49
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.187.6927.87safe16.25–24.104.13–11.2620.38–35.36safer15.16–25.193.17–12.2118.33–37.41
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction13.335.1718.49safe10.38–16.272.49–7.8512.87–24.12safer9.55–17.101.75–8.5811.30–25.68
Blocked shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction5.571.867.43safe3.69–7.450.21–3.523.90–10.97safer3.14–8.000.00–4.012.86–12.00
Corners
92%
homeawaytotalprediction8.012.9010.91safe5.79–10.220.90–4.906.69–15.12safer5.22–10.790.37–5.435.59–16.23
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction61.7737.65safe54.98–68.5630.86–44.43safer53.31–70.2329.19–46.10
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction6383781016safe570–705312–445882–1149safer552–723294–462846–1185
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction77.6569.20safe73.62–81.6864.88–73.53safer72.33–82.9763.57–74.84
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0612.0523.10safe8.22–13.899.10–14.9917.32–28.89safer7.46–14.658.35–15.7415.82–30.39
Offsides
39%
19%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.382.494.86safe1.22–3.541.39–3.582.61–7.12safer0.92–3.841.10–3.872.02–7.71
Yellow cards
16%
18%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction1.122.403.52safe0.07–2.171.27–3.531.34–5.70safer0.00–2.440.98–3.820.78–6.26
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
85%
homeawaytotalprediction1.985.217.19safe0.54–3.413.66–6.774.20–10.19safer0.15–3.803.23–7.203.39–11.00
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.86 1.89–3.83 1.64–4.08 | 0.85 0.00–1.70 0.00–1.93 | 3.70 1.88–5.53 1.40–6.01 | 79% 13% |
| Shots on target | 7.82 5.96–9.69 5.47–10.18 | 3.10 1.36–4.84 0.89–5.31 | 10.93 7.32–14.53 6.37–15.49 | 90% |
| Total shots | 20.18 16.25–24.10 15.16–25.19 | 7.69 4.13–11.26 3.17–12.21 | 27.87 20.38–35.36 18.33–37.41 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.33 10.38–16.27 9.55–17.10 | 5.17 2.49–7.85 1.75–8.58 | 18.49 12.87–24.12 11.30–25.68 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.57 3.69–7.45 3.14–8.00 | 1.86 0.21–3.52 0.00–4.01 | 7.43 3.90–10.97 2.86–12.00 | 89% |
| Corners | 8.01 5.79–10.22 5.22–10.79 | 2.90 0.90–4.90 0.37–5.43 | 10.91 6.69–15.12 5.59–16.23 | 92% |
| Possession % | 61.77 54.98–68.56 53.31–70.23 | 37.65 30.86–44.43 29.19–46.10 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 638 570–705 552–723 | 378 312–445 294–462 | 1016 882–1149 846–1185 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.65 73.62–81.68 72.33–82.97 | 69.20 64.88–73.53 63.57–74.84 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.06 8.22–13.89 7.46–14.65 | 12.05 9.10–14.99 8.35–15.74 | 23.10 17.32–28.89 15.82–30.39 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 2.38 1.22–3.54 0.92–3.84 | 2.49 1.39–3.58 1.10–3.87 | 4.86 2.61–7.12 2.02–7.71 | 39% 19% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.12 0.07–2.17 0.00–2.44 | 2.40 1.27–3.53 0.98–3.82 | 3.52 1.34–5.70 0.78–6.26 | 16% 18% 66% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 1.98 0.54–3.41 0.15–3.80 | 5.21 3.66–6.77 3.23–7.20 | 7.19 4.20–10.19 3.39–11.00 | 85% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+