Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
28%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.102.35safe0.27–2.210.25–1.960.52–4.17safer0.02–2.460.02–2.190.04–4.65
Shots on target
43%
15%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.873.837.69safe2.00–5.732.08–5.574.09–11.30safer1.52–6.221.62–6.033.13–12.25
Total shots
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1011.2522.34safe7.17–15.027.68–14.8114.86–29.83safer6.08–16.116.72–15.7712.80–31.88
Shots in box
40%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction6.877.2714.14safe3.93–9.814.59–9.968.52–19.77safer3.10–10.643.86–10.696.95–21.33
Blocked shots
49%
17%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.992.545.53safe1.11–4.870.88–4.191.99–9.06safer0.56–5.420.39–4.680.95–10.10
Corners
46%
13%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.734.499.23safe2.52–6.952.49–6.495.01–13.44safer1.95–7.521.96–7.033.91–14.55
Possession %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction57.9441.96safe51.14–64.7335.18–48.74safer49.48–66.4033.50–50.42
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction515356871safe448–582290–423737–1005safer430–600272–440702–1041
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction67.0265.67safe62.99–71.0561.35–70.00safer61.70–72.3560.04–71.31
Fouls
47%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5015.4530.95safe12.66–18.3412.51–18.3925.17–36.73safer11.91–19.1011.76–19.1423.67–38.24
Offsides
21%
17%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.772.964.74safe0.61–2.931.87–4.062.48–6.99safer0.31–3.231.58–4.341.89–7.58
Yellow cards
34%
17%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.502.965.46safe1.45–3.551.83–4.093.29–7.64safer1.19–3.821.54–4.382.73–8.20
Red cards
75%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.160.32safe0.00–0.320.00–0.350.00–0.67safer0.00–0.470.00–0.480.00–0.95
GK saves
39%
18%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.592.715.31safe1.16–4.031.16–4.272.32–8.30safer0.77–4.420.73–4.701.50–9.11
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.27–2.21 0.02–2.46 | 1.10 0.25–1.96 0.02–2.19 | 2.35 0.52–4.17 0.04–4.65 | 39% 28% 33% |
| Shots on target | 3.87 2.00–5.73 1.52–6.22 | 3.83 2.08–5.57 1.62–6.03 | 7.69 4.09–11.30 3.13–12.25 | 43% 15% 42% |
| Total shots | 11.10 7.17–15.02 6.08–16.11 | 11.25 7.68–14.81 6.72–15.77 | 22.34 14.86–29.83 12.80–31.88 | 45% 47% |
| Shots in box | 6.87 3.93–9.81 3.10–10.64 | 7.27 4.59–9.96 3.86–10.69 | 14.14 8.52–19.77 6.95–21.33 | 40% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 2.99 1.11–4.87 0.56–5.42 | 2.54 0.88–4.19 0.39–4.68 | 5.53 1.99–9.06 0.95–10.10 | 49% 17% 34% |
| Corners | 4.73 2.52–6.95 1.95–7.52 | 4.49 2.49–6.49 1.96–7.03 | 9.23 5.01–13.44 3.91–14.55 | 46% 13% 40% |
| Possession % | 57.94 51.14–64.73 49.48–66.40 | 41.96 35.18–48.74 33.50–50.42 | — | 81% 16% |
| Passes | 515 448–582 430–600 | 356 290–423 272–440 | 871 737–1005 702–1041 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.02 62.99–71.05 61.70–72.35 | 65.67 61.35–70.00 60.04–71.31 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 15.50 12.66–18.34 11.91–19.10 | 15.45 12.51–18.39 11.76–19.14 | 30.95 25.17–36.73 23.67–38.24 | 47% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.23 | 2.96 1.87–4.06 1.58–4.34 | 4.74 2.48–6.99 1.89–7.58 | 21% 17% 62% |
| Yellow cards | 2.50 1.45–3.55 1.19–3.82 | 2.96 1.83–4.09 1.54–4.38 | 5.46 3.29–7.64 2.73–8.20 | 34% 17% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.47 | 0.16 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.48 | 0.32 0.00–0.67 0.00–0.95 | 75% 13% |
| GK saves | 2.59 1.16–4.03 0.77–4.42 | 2.71 1.16–4.27 0.73–4.70 | 5.31 2.32–8.30 1.50–9.11 | 39% 18% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+