Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
28%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.162.37safe0.24–2.180.30–2.010.54–4.19safer0.00–2.430.07–2.240.06–4.67
Shots on target
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.983.847.82safe2.12–5.842.10–5.594.22–11.43safer1.63–6.331.64–6.053.26–12.39
Total shots
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5011.7024.20safe8.58–16.438.14–15.2616.71–31.69safer7.49–17.527.18–16.2214.66–33.74
Shots in box
43%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction7.297.4714.76safe4.35–10.234.79–10.159.14–20.38safer3.52–11.064.06–10.897.57–21.95
Blocked shots
47%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.313.006.31safe1.43–5.191.34–4.652.77–9.85safer0.89–5.740.85–5.141.74–10.88
Corners
50%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.064.589.64safe2.85–7.272.58–6.585.43–13.86safer2.27–7.852.05–7.124.32–14.96
Possession %
65%
30%
homeawayprediction53.7546.05safe46.96–60.5439.27–52.84safer45.29–62.2137.60–54.51
Passes
80%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction464362826safe397–531296–429693–960safer379–550278–446657–996
Pass accuracy %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction68.0468.69safe64.01–72.0764.36–73.01safer62.72–73.3763.06–74.32
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9514.2726.22safe9.11–14.7911.33–17.2220.44–32.01safer8.35–15.5410.58–17.9718.94–33.51
Offsides
28%
19%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.842.514.35safe0.68–3.001.42–3.602.10–6.60safer0.38–3.301.13–3.891.51–7.19
Yellow cards
26%
18%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.762.594.35safe0.72–2.811.46–3.722.18–6.53safer0.45–3.081.17–4.011.62–7.09
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.140.23safe0.00–0.260.00–0.320.00–0.58safer0.00–0.410.00–0.450.00–0.86
GK saves
43%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.892.825.71safe1.45–4.331.26–4.372.71–8.70safer1.07–4.710.84–4.801.90–9.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.21 0.24–2.18 0.00–2.43 | 1.16 0.30–2.01 0.07–2.24 | 2.37 0.54–4.19 0.06–4.67 | 37% 28% 35% |
| Shots on target | 3.98 2.12–5.84 1.63–6.33 | 3.84 2.10–5.59 1.64–6.05 | 7.82 4.22–11.43 3.26–12.39 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Total shots | 12.50 8.58–16.43 7.49–17.52 | 11.70 8.14–15.26 7.18–16.22 | 24.20 16.71–31.69 14.66–33.74 | 52% 40% |
| Shots in box | 7.29 4.35–10.23 3.52–11.06 | 7.47 4.79–10.15 4.06–10.89 | 14.76 9.14–20.38 7.57–21.95 | 43% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 3.31 1.43–5.19 0.89–5.74 | 3.00 1.34–4.65 0.85–5.14 | 6.31 2.77–9.85 1.74–10.88 | 47% 16% 37% |
| Corners | 5.06 2.85–7.27 2.27–7.85 | 4.58 2.58–6.58 2.05–7.12 | 9.64 5.43–13.86 4.32–14.96 | 50% 38% |
| Possession % | 53.75 46.96–60.54 45.29–62.21 | 46.05 39.27–52.84 37.60–54.51 | — | 65% 30% |
| Passes | 464 397–531 379–550 | 362 296–429 278–446 | 826 693–960 657–996 | 80% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.04 64.01–72.07 62.72–73.37 | 68.69 64.36–73.01 63.06–74.32 | — | 44% 51% |
| Fouls | 11.95 9.11–14.79 8.35–15.54 | 14.27 11.33–17.22 10.58–17.97 | 26.22 20.44–32.01 18.94–33.51 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.30 | 2.51 1.42–3.60 1.13–3.89 | 4.35 2.10–6.60 1.51–7.19 | 28% 19% 53% |
| Yellow cards | 1.76 0.72–2.81 0.45–3.08 | 2.59 1.46–3.72 1.17–4.01 | 4.35 2.18–6.53 1.62–7.09 | 26% 18% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.89 1.45–4.33 1.07–4.71 | 2.82 1.26–4.37 0.84–4.80 | 5.71 2.71–8.70 1.90–9.51 | 43% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+