Predicted match statistics
Goals
90%
homeawaytotalprediction0.683.804.48safe0.00–1.652.95–4.652.66–6.30safer0.00–1.902.72–4.882.18–6.78
Shots on target
96%
homeawaytotalprediction2.799.2812.07safe0.93–4.667.54–11.028.47–15.68safer0.44–5.147.07–11.497.51–16.64
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction7.8121.8729.69safe3.89–11.7418.31–25.4422.20–37.17safer2.80–12.8317.35–26.4020.15–39.22
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction4.8414.6219.45safe1.89–7.7811.94–17.3013.83–25.08safer1.06–8.6111.20–18.0412.26–26.64
Blocked shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction1.545.567.10safe0.00–3.423.91–7.213.56–10.63safer0.00–3.973.41–7.702.53–11.67
Corners
86%
homeawaytotalprediction3.076.9410.01safe0.86–5.294.94–8.945.80–14.22safer0.28–5.864.41–9.474.69–15.33
Possession %
100%
homeawayprediction26.6173.68safe19.82–33.4066.90–80.47safer18.15–35.0765.23–82.14
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction3057601064safe237–372693–826931–1198safer219–390676–844895–1234
Pass accuracy %
100%
homeawayprediction60.9785.59safe56.94–65.0081.27–89.92safer55.65–66.2979.96–91.23
Fouls
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction12.528.9421.46safe9.69–15.365.99–11.8815.68–27.24safer8.93–16.125.25–12.6314.18–28.75
Offsides
61%
15%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.632.426.06safe2.47–4.791.33–3.523.80–8.31safer2.17–5.101.04–3.813.22–8.90
Yellow cards
54%
22%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.283.26safe0.93–3.030.15–2.411.08–5.44safer0.67–3.300.00–2.700.52–6.00
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
87%
homeawaytotalprediction5.662.107.76safe4.22–7.100.55–3.664.77–10.75safer3.84–7.480.12–4.083.96–11.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.68 0.00–1.65 0.00–1.90 | 3.80 2.95–4.65 2.72–4.88 | 4.48 2.66–6.30 2.18–6.78 | 90% |
| Shots on target | 2.79 0.93–4.66 0.44–5.14 | 9.28 7.54–11.02 7.07–11.49 | 12.07 8.47–15.68 7.51–16.64 | 96% |
| Total shots | 7.81 3.89–11.74 2.80–12.83 | 21.87 18.31–25.44 17.35–26.40 | 29.69 22.20–37.17 20.15–39.22 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 4.84 1.89–7.78 1.06–8.61 | 14.62 11.94–17.30 11.20–18.04 | 19.45 13.83–25.08 12.26–26.64 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 1.54 0.00–3.42 0.00–3.97 | 5.56 3.91–7.21 3.41–7.70 | 7.10 3.56–10.63 2.53–11.67 | 91% |
| Corners | 3.07 0.86–5.29 0.28–5.86 | 6.94 4.94–8.94 4.41–9.47 | 10.01 5.80–14.22 4.69–15.33 | 86% |
| Possession % | 26.61 19.82–33.40 18.15–35.07 | 73.68 66.90–80.47 65.23–82.14 | — | 100% |
| Passes | 305 237–372 219–390 | 760 693–826 676–844 | 1064 931–1198 895–1234 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.97 56.94–65.00 55.65–66.29 | 85.59 81.27–89.92 79.96–91.23 | — | 100% |
| Fouls | 12.52 9.69–15.36 8.93–16.12 | 8.94 5.99–11.88 5.25–12.63 | 21.46 15.68–27.24 14.18–28.75 | 75% 19% |
| Offsides | 3.63 2.47–4.79 2.17–5.10 | 2.42 1.33–3.52 1.04–3.81 | 6.06 3.80–8.31 3.22–8.90 | 61% 15% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.98 0.93–3.03 0.67–3.30 | 1.28 0.15–2.41 0.00–2.70 | 3.26 1.08–5.44 0.52–6.00 | 54% 22% 25% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 5.66 4.22–7.10 3.84–7.48 | 2.10 0.55–3.66 0.12–4.08 | 7.76 4.77–10.75 3.96–11.57 | 87% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.