La Liga·Regular Season - 16·
La Liga·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.680.773.45safe1.71–3.650.00–1.621.62–5.27safer1.46–3.900.00–1.851.14–5.75
Shots on target
93%
homeawaytotalprediction7.722.5710.29safe5.86–9.590.83–4.316.69–13.90safer5.37–10.080.36–4.785.73–14.85
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction21.647.6629.30safe17.72–25.574.10–11.2221.81–36.79safer16.62–26.663.14–12.1819.76–38.84
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction13.575.0618.64safe10.63–16.522.38–7.7413.01–24.26safer9.80–17.351.64–8.4811.45–25.83
Blocked shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction5.711.987.69safe3.82–7.590.33–3.644.15–11.22safer3.28–8.130.00–4.133.12–12.26
Corners
94%
homeawaytotalprediction8.272.7411.01safe6.06–10.490.74–4.746.80–15.23safer5.49–11.060.21–5.275.69–16.33
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction63.5635.35safe56.77–70.3528.57–42.14safer55.10–72.0226.90–43.81
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction629347977safe562–697281–414843–1110safer544–715263–431807–1146
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction76.9967.45safe72.96–81.0263.13–71.78safer71.67–82.3161.82–73.09
Fouls
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1614.0725.23safe8.32–14.0011.12–17.0119.45–31.01safer7.57–14.7610.38–17.7617.94–32.52
Offsides
41%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.553.22safe0.51–2.830.46–2.650.97–5.48safer0.21–3.130.17–2.940.38–6.07
Yellow cards
18%
17%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction1.312.593.90safe0.26–2.361.46–3.721.72–6.08safer0.00–2.631.17–4.011.16–6.64
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.310.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
86%
homeawaytotalprediction1.885.157.03safe0.45–3.323.59–6.704.04–10.02safer0.06–3.713.17–7.133.23–10.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.68 1.71–3.65 1.46–3.90 | 0.77 0.00–1.62 0.00–1.85 | 3.45 1.62–5.27 1.14–5.75 | 78% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.72 5.86–9.59 5.37–10.08 | 2.57 0.83–4.31 0.36–4.78 | 10.29 6.69–13.90 5.73–14.85 | 93% |
| Total shots | 21.64 17.72–25.57 16.62–26.66 | 7.66 4.10–11.22 3.14–12.18 | 29.30 21.81–36.79 19.76–38.84 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.57 10.63–16.52 9.80–17.35 | 5.06 2.38–7.74 1.64–8.48 | 18.64 13.01–24.26 11.45–25.83 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.71 3.82–7.59 3.28–8.13 | 1.98 0.33–3.64 0.00–4.13 | 7.69 4.15–11.22 3.12–12.26 | 88% |
| Corners | 8.27 6.06–10.49 5.49–11.06 | 2.74 0.74–4.74 0.21–5.27 | 11.01 6.80–15.23 5.69–16.33 | 94% |
| Possession % | 63.56 56.77–70.35 55.10–72.02 | 35.35 28.57–42.14 26.90–43.81 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 629 562–697 544–715 | 347 281–414 263–431 | 977 843–1110 807–1146 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.99 72.96–81.02 71.67–82.31 | 67.45 63.13–71.78 61.82–73.09 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 11.16 8.32–14.00 7.57–14.76 | 14.07 11.12–17.01 10.38–17.76 | 25.23 19.45–31.01 17.94–32.52 | 25% 68% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.13 | 1.55 0.46–2.65 0.17–2.94 | 3.22 0.97–5.48 0.38–6.07 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.31 0.26–2.36 0.00–2.63 | 2.59 1.46–3.72 1.17–4.01 | 3.90 1.72–6.08 1.16–6.64 | 18% 17% 65% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 1.88 0.45–3.32 0.06–3.71 | 5.15 3.59–6.70 3.17–7.13 | 7.03 4.04–10.02 3.23–10.83 | 86% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.