Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
28%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.042.30safe0.29–2.220.19–1.900.48–4.12safer0.04–2.470.00–2.130.00–4.60
Shots on target
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.043.697.74safe2.18–5.911.95–5.444.13–11.34safer1.69–6.401.49–5.903.18–12.30
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7910.5723.36safe8.86–16.717.01–14.1315.87–30.85safer7.77–17.806.05–15.0913.82–32.90
Shots in box
68%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction8.466.1714.63safe5.52–11.403.49–8.869.01–20.26safer4.69–12.232.76–9.597.44–21.82
Blocked shots
42%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.073.046.11safe1.19–4.951.39–4.692.57–9.64safer0.64–5.490.90–5.191.54–10.68
Corners
48%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.634.308.93safe2.41–6.842.30–6.304.72–13.14safer1.84–7.411.77–6.843.61–14.25
Possession %
16%
82%
homeawayprediction41.9958.17safe35.20–48.7851.38–64.95safer33.53–50.4549.71–66.62
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction352489841safe284–419422–555707–974safer266–437405–573671–1010
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction62.3371.99safe58.30–66.3667.67–76.32safer57.00–67.6566.36–77.63
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9613.4628.41safe12.12–17.7910.51–16.4022.63–34.20safer11.36–18.559.76–17.1521.13–35.70
Offsides
65%
15%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.401.985.38safe2.24–4.560.88–3.073.12–7.63safer1.94–4.860.59–3.362.53–8.22
Yellow cards
43%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.782.685.47safe1.73–3.831.55–3.813.29–7.64safer1.47–4.101.26–4.102.73–8.20
Red cards
77%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.160.29safe0.00–0.290.00–0.350.00–0.63safer0.00–0.440.00–0.480.00–0.92
GK saves
37%
18%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.492.735.22safe1.05–3.931.18–4.292.23–8.21safer0.67–4.310.75–4.711.42–9.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.29–2.22 0.04–2.47 | 1.04 0.19–1.90 0.00–2.13 | 2.30 0.48–4.12 0.00–4.60 | 41% 28% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.04 2.18–5.91 1.69–6.40 | 3.69 1.95–5.44 1.49–5.90 | 7.74 4.13–11.34 3.18–12.30 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Total shots | 12.79 8.86–16.71 7.77–17.80 | 10.57 7.01–14.13 6.05–15.09 | 23.36 15.87–30.85 13.82–32.90 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 8.46 5.52–11.40 4.69–12.23 | 6.17 3.49–8.86 2.76–9.59 | 14.63 9.01–20.26 7.44–21.82 | 68% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 3.07 1.19–4.95 0.64–5.49 | 3.04 1.39–4.69 0.90–5.19 | 6.11 2.57–9.64 1.54–10.68 | 42% 17% 41% |
| Corners | 4.63 2.41–6.84 1.84–7.41 | 4.30 2.30–6.30 1.77–6.84 | 8.93 4.72–13.14 3.61–14.25 | 48% 13% 39% |
| Possession % | 41.99 35.20–48.78 33.53–50.45 | 58.17 51.38–64.95 49.71–66.62 | — | 16% 82% |
| Passes | 352 284–419 266–437 | 489 422–555 405–573 | 841 707–974 671–1010 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.33 58.30–66.36 57.00–67.65 | 71.99 67.67–76.32 66.36–77.63 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 14.96 12.12–17.79 11.36–18.55 | 13.46 10.51–16.40 9.76–17.15 | 28.41 22.63–34.20 21.13–35.70 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 3.40 2.24–4.56 1.94–4.86 | 1.98 0.88–3.07 0.59–3.36 | 5.38 3.12–7.63 2.53–8.22 | 65% 15% 20% |
| Yellow cards | 2.78 1.73–3.83 1.47–4.10 | 2.68 1.55–3.81 1.26–4.10 | 5.47 3.29–7.64 2.73–8.20 | 43% 17% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.16 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.48 | 0.29 0.00–0.63 0.00–0.92 | 77% 13% |
| GK saves | 2.49 1.05–3.93 0.67–4.31 | 2.73 1.18–4.29 0.75–4.71 | 5.22 2.23–8.21 1.42–9.03 | 37% 18% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+