La Liga·Regular Season - 17·
La Liga·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
88%
homeawaytotalprediction3.710.804.50safe2.74–4.680.00–1.652.68–6.33safer2.49–4.930.00–1.882.20–6.80
Shots on target
95%
homeawaytotalprediction9.052.9211.97safe7.19–10.911.18–4.668.37–15.58safer6.70–11.400.71–5.137.41–16.53
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction22.617.5630.17safe18.69–26.534.00–11.1222.68–37.66safer17.59–27.633.04–12.0820.63–39.71
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction15.234.9220.15safe12.29–18.172.24–7.6014.52–25.77safer11.46–19.001.50–8.3412.96–27.34
Blocked shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction5.571.797.36safe3.69–7.450.13–3.443.82–10.89safer3.15–8.000.00–3.932.79–11.93
Corners
94%
homeawaytotalprediction8.272.8011.07safe6.05–10.480.80–4.816.86–15.28safer5.48–11.050.27–5.345.75–16.39
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction71.4927.29safe64.70–78.2820.50–34.07safer63.03–79.9518.83–35.74
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7532791031safe686–820212–345898–1165safer667–838195–363862–1201
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction80.5965.40safe76.57–84.6261.08–69.73safer75.27–85.9259.77–71.04
Fouls
26%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction8.9911.3920.38safe6.15–11.838.44–14.3314.59–26.16safer5.40–12.587.69–15.0813.09–27.66
Offsides
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.303.505.80safe1.14–3.462.41–4.603.55–8.06safer0.84–3.762.12–4.882.96–8.64
Yellow cards
24%
22%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.201.903.10safe0.15–2.250.78–3.030.93–5.28safer0.00–2.520.48–3.330.37–5.84
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
87%
homeawaytotalprediction2.015.597.59safe0.57–3.444.03–7.144.60–10.59safer0.18–3.833.61–7.573.79–11.40
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.71 2.74–4.68 2.49–4.93 | 0.80 0.00–1.65 0.00–1.88 | 4.50 2.68–6.33 2.20–6.80 | 88% |
| Shots on target | 9.05 7.19–10.91 6.70–11.40 | 2.92 1.18–4.66 0.71–5.13 | 11.97 8.37–15.58 7.41–16.53 | 95% |
| Total shots | 22.61 18.69–26.53 17.59–27.63 | 7.56 4.00–11.12 3.04–12.08 | 30.17 22.68–37.66 20.63–39.71 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 15.23 12.29–18.17 11.46–19.00 | 4.92 2.24–7.60 1.50–8.34 | 20.15 14.52–25.77 12.96–27.34 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 5.57 3.69–7.45 3.15–8.00 | 1.79 0.13–3.44 0.00–3.93 | 7.36 3.82–10.89 2.79–11.93 | 89% |
| Corners | 8.27 6.05–10.48 5.48–11.05 | 2.80 0.80–4.81 0.27–5.34 | 11.07 6.86–15.28 5.75–16.39 | 94% |
| Possession % | 71.49 64.70–78.28 63.03–79.95 | 27.29 20.50–34.07 18.83–35.74 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 753 686–820 667–838 | 279 212–345 195–363 | 1031 898–1165 862–1201 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.59 76.57–84.62 75.27–85.92 | 65.40 61.08–69.73 59.77–71.04 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 8.99 6.15–11.83 5.40–12.58 | 11.39 8.44–14.33 7.69–15.08 | 20.38 14.59–26.16 13.09–27.66 | 26% 66% |
| Offsides | 2.30 1.14–3.46 0.84–3.76 | 3.50 2.41–4.60 2.12–4.88 | 5.80 3.55–8.06 2.96–8.64 | 24% 15% 61% |
| Yellow cards | 1.20 0.15–2.25 0.00–2.52 | 1.90 0.78–3.03 0.48–3.33 | 3.10 0.93–5.28 0.37–5.84 | 24% 22% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.01 0.57–3.44 0.18–3.83 | 5.59 4.03–7.14 3.61–7.57 | 7.59 4.60–10.59 3.79–11.40 | 87% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.