La Liga·Regular Season - 17·
La Liga·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction0.962.503.46safe0.00–1.931.65–3.361.64–5.29safer0.00–2.181.42–3.591.16–5.77
Shots on target
14%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction3.746.6910.43safe1.88–5.604.95–8.436.82–14.03safer1.39–6.094.48–8.905.87–14.99
Total shots
15%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8816.9328.82safe7.96–15.8113.37–20.4921.33–36.30safer6.87–16.9012.41–21.4519.28–38.35
Shots in box
81%
homeawaytotalprediction7.1611.5118.68safe4.22–10.118.83–14.2013.05–24.30safer3.39–10.938.10–14.9311.49–25.87
Blocked shots
27%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.434.708.13safe1.55–5.323.05–6.354.60–11.67safer1.01–5.862.56–6.853.56–12.71
Corners
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.485.6610.14safe2.27–6.693.66–7.665.93–14.36safer1.69–7.273.13–8.204.82–15.46
Possession %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction43.3457.20safe36.55–50.1350.41–63.98safer34.88–51.8048.74–65.65
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction4405781018safe373–507512–644884–1152safer355–525494–662849–1187
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction68.4577.64safe64.42–72.4873.32–81.97safer63.13–73.7772.01–83.27
Fouls
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7310.4223.15safe9.89–15.577.48–13.3717.37–28.93safer9.14–16.326.73–14.1215.86–30.44
Offsides
35%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.803.43safe0.47–2.790.71–2.901.18–5.68safer0.17–3.090.42–3.180.59–6.27
Yellow cards
50%
20%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.211.683.90safe1.17–3.260.55–2.811.72–6.08safer0.90–3.530.26–3.101.16–6.63
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.080.21safe0.00–0.300.00–0.260.00–0.56safer0.00–0.450.00–0.400.00–0.84
GK saves
64%
14%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.092.656.74safe2.66–5.531.10–4.213.75–9.74safer2.27–5.920.67–4.632.94–10.55
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.96 0.00–1.93 0.00–2.18 | 2.50 1.65–3.36 1.42–3.59 | 3.46 1.64–5.29 1.16–5.77 | 17% 71% |
| Shots on target | 3.74 1.88–5.60 1.39–6.09 | 6.69 4.95–8.43 4.48–8.90 | 10.43 6.82–14.03 5.87–14.99 | 14% 78% |
| Total shots | 11.88 7.96–15.81 6.87–16.90 | 16.93 13.37–20.49 12.41–21.45 | 28.82 21.33–36.30 19.28–38.35 | 15% 80% |
| Shots in box | 7.16 4.22–10.11 3.39–10.93 | 11.51 8.83–14.20 8.10–14.93 | 18.68 13.05–24.30 11.49–25.87 | 81% |
| Blocked shots | 3.43 1.55–5.32 1.01–5.86 | 4.70 3.05–6.35 2.56–6.85 | 8.13 4.60–11.67 3.56–12.71 | 27% 60% |
| Corners | 4.48 2.27–6.69 1.69–7.27 | 5.66 3.66–7.66 3.13–8.20 | 10.14 5.93–14.36 4.82–15.46 | 30% 58% |
| Possession % | 43.34 36.55–50.13 34.88–51.80 | 57.20 50.41–63.98 48.74–65.65 | — | 19% 78% |
| Passes | 440 373–507 355–525 | 578 512–644 494–662 | 1018 884–1152 849–1187 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.45 64.42–72.48 63.13–73.77 | 77.64 73.32–81.97 72.01–83.27 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 12.73 9.89–15.57 9.14–16.32 | 10.42 7.48–13.37 6.73–14.12 | 23.15 17.37–28.93 15.86–30.44 | 65% 28% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.09 | 1.80 0.71–2.90 0.42–3.18 | 3.43 1.18–5.68 0.59–6.27 | 35% 22% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 2.21 1.17–3.26 0.90–3.53 | 1.68 0.55–2.81 0.26–3.10 | 3.90 1.72–6.08 1.16–6.63 | 50% 20% 30% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 4.09 2.66–5.53 2.27–5.92 | 2.65 1.10–4.21 0.67–4.63 | 6.74 3.75–9.74 2.94–10.55 | 64% 14% 22% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+