Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
28%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.042.32safe0.31–2.250.19–1.900.50–4.14safer0.06–2.500.00–2.130.02–4.62
Shots on target
53%
13%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.643.948.58safe2.78–6.512.19–5.684.97–12.18safer2.29–7.001.73–6.144.02–13.14
Total shots
74%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6011.6927.30safe11.68–19.538.13–15.2619.81–34.79safer10.59–20.627.17–16.2217.76–36.84
Shots in box
56%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction9.158.0217.17safe6.21–12.105.34–10.7011.55–22.80safer5.38–12.934.60–11.449.98–24.36
Blocked shots
49%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.803.367.17safe1.92–5.681.71–5.023.63–10.70safer1.38–6.231.22–5.512.59–11.74
Corners
53%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.474.7410.21safe3.26–7.682.74–6.745.99–14.42safer2.68–8.262.20–7.274.89–15.53
Possession %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction47.8651.80safe41.07–54.6545.02–58.59safer39.40–56.3243.35–60.26
Passes
33%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction384437821safe317–451370–503687–955safer299–470353–521652–990
Pass accuracy %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction65.3471.93safe61.31–69.3767.61–76.26safer60.01–70.6666.30–77.57
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2512.9726.22safe10.41–16.0910.03–15.9220.44–32.00safer9.66–16.849.28–16.6718.94–33.51
Offsides
56%
21%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.161.333.48safe1.00–3.320.23–2.421.23–5.74safer0.70–3.620.00–2.710.64–6.33
Yellow cards
41%
20%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.122.044.17safe1.07–3.170.91–3.171.99–6.34safer0.81–3.440.62–3.461.43–6.90
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.110.22safe0.00–0.270.00–0.300.00–0.57safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.85
GK saves
35%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.863.316.16safe1.42–4.291.75–4.863.17–9.15safer1.03–4.681.32–5.292.36–9.97
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.28 0.31–2.25 0.06–2.50 | 1.04 0.19–1.90 0.00–2.13 | 2.32 0.50–4.14 0.02–4.62 | 42% 28% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.64 2.78–6.51 2.29–7.00 | 3.94 2.19–5.68 1.73–6.14 | 8.58 4.97–12.18 4.02–13.14 | 53% 13% 34% |
| Total shots | 15.60 11.68–19.53 10.59–20.62 | 11.69 8.13–15.26 7.17–16.22 | 27.30 19.81–34.79 17.76–36.84 | 74% 20% |
| Shots in box | 9.15 6.21–12.10 5.38–12.93 | 8.02 5.34–10.70 4.60–11.44 | 17.17 11.55–22.80 9.98–24.36 | 56% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 3.80 1.92–5.68 1.38–6.23 | 3.36 1.71–5.02 1.22–5.51 | 7.17 3.63–10.70 2.59–11.74 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 5.47 3.26–7.68 2.68–8.26 | 4.74 2.74–6.74 2.20–7.27 | 10.21 5.99–14.42 4.89–15.53 | 53% 35% |
| Possession % | 47.86 41.07–54.65 39.40–56.32 | 51.80 45.02–58.59 43.35–60.26 | — | 38% 57% |
| Passes | 384 317–451 299–470 | 437 370–503 353–521 | 821 687–955 652–990 | 33% 67% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.34 61.31–69.37 60.01–70.66 | 71.93 67.61–76.26 66.30–77.57 | — | 18% 78% |
| Fouls | 13.25 10.41–16.09 9.66–16.84 | 12.97 10.03–15.92 9.28–16.67 | 26.22 20.44–32.00 18.94–33.51 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 2.16 1.00–3.32 0.70–3.62 | 1.33 0.23–2.42 0.00–2.71 | 3.48 1.23–5.74 0.64–6.33 | 56% 21% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 2.12 1.07–3.17 0.81–3.44 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 4.17 1.99–6.34 1.43–6.90 | 41% 20% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.86 1.42–4.29 1.03–4.68 | 3.31 1.75–4.86 1.32–5.29 | 6.16 3.17–9.15 2.36–9.97 | 35% 16% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.