La Liga·Regular Season - 17·
La Liga·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
23%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction0.991.812.80safe0.03–1.960.96–2.660.98–4.63safer0.00–2.210.73–2.890.50–5.11
Shots on target
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.325.388.70safe1.45–5.183.64–7.125.09–12.30safer0.96–5.673.17–7.594.13–13.26
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8115.6025.41safe5.89–13.7412.03–19.1617.92–32.90safer4.80–14.8311.08–20.1215.87–34.95
Shots in box
17%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction6.9110.3617.27safe3.97–9.867.68–13.0411.65–22.90safer3.14–10.696.94–13.7810.08–24.46
Blocked shots
25%
13%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.144.497.63safe1.26–5.022.84–6.144.10–11.17safer0.72–5.572.35–6.643.06–12.20
Corners
23%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.805.509.30safe1.59–6.013.50–7.505.09–13.52safer1.01–6.592.97–8.043.98–14.62
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction39.7362.14safe32.94–46.5255.36–68.93safer31.27–48.1953.69–70.60
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction348560908safe281–415493–626774–1042safer263–433476–644739–1077
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction63.0478.16safe59.01–67.0773.84–82.49safer57.71–68.3672.53–83.79
Fouls
52%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1513.4127.56safe11.31–16.9910.47–16.3621.78–33.35safer10.56–17.759.72–17.1120.28–34.85
Offsides
37%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.603.15safe0.39–2.710.51–2.690.89–5.40safer0.08–3.010.22–2.980.30–5.99
Yellow cards
48%
19%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.462.044.51safe1.41–3.510.92–3.172.33–6.68safer1.15–3.780.62–3.461.77–7.24
Red cards
14%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.170.100.26safe0.00–0.330.00–0.290.00–0.61safer0.00–0.480.00–0.420.00–0.89
GK saves
61%
15%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.612.406.01safe2.17–5.050.84–3.953.01–9.00safer1.79–5.430.42–4.382.20–9.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.99 0.03–1.96 0.00–2.21 | 1.81 0.96–2.66 0.73–2.89 | 2.80 0.98–4.63 0.50–5.11 | 21% 23% 57% |
| Shots on target | 3.32 1.45–5.18 0.96–5.67 | 5.38 3.64–7.12 3.17–7.59 | 8.70 5.09–12.30 4.13–13.26 | 19% 70% |
| Total shots | 9.81 5.89–13.74 4.80–14.83 | 15.60 12.03–19.16 11.08–20.12 | 25.41 17.92–32.90 15.87–34.95 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 6.91 3.97–9.86 3.14–10.69 | 10.36 7.68–13.04 6.94–13.78 | 17.27 11.65–22.90 10.08–24.46 | 17% 76% |
| Blocked shots | 3.14 1.26–5.02 0.72–5.57 | 4.49 2.84–6.14 2.35–6.64 | 7.63 4.10–11.17 3.06–12.20 | 25% 13% 62% |
| Corners | 3.80 1.59–6.01 1.01–6.59 | 5.50 3.50–7.50 2.97–8.04 | 9.30 5.09–13.52 3.98–14.62 | 23% 65% |
| Possession % | 39.73 32.94–46.52 31.27–48.19 | 62.14 55.36–68.93 53.69–70.60 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 348 281–415 263–433 | 560 493–626 476–644 | 908 774–1042 739–1077 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.04 59.01–67.07 57.71–68.36 | 78.16 73.84–82.49 72.53–83.79 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 14.15 11.31–16.99 10.56–17.75 | 13.41 10.47–16.36 9.72–17.11 | 27.56 21.78–33.35 20.28–34.85 | 52% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.71 0.08–3.01 | 1.60 0.51–2.69 0.22–2.98 | 3.15 0.89–5.40 0.30–5.99 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 2.46 1.41–3.51 1.15–3.78 | 2.04 0.92–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 4.51 2.33–6.68 1.77–7.24 | 48% 19% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.17 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.48 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 14% 78% |
| GK saves | 3.61 2.17–5.05 1.79–5.43 | 2.40 0.84–3.95 0.42–4.38 | 6.01 3.01–9.00 2.20–9.81 | 61% 15% 24% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.