La Liga·Regular Season - 18·
La Liga·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
21%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction1.940.902.84safe0.97–2.910.05–1.761.02–4.66safer0.72–3.160.00–1.980.54–5.14
Shots on target
78%
homeawaytotalprediction5.953.119.06safe4.09–7.821.36–4.855.45–12.66safer3.60–8.310.90–5.314.50–13.62
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction16.199.3725.56safe12.27–20.125.80–12.9318.07–33.05safer11.18–21.214.84–13.8916.02–35.10
Shots in box
81%
homeawaytotalprediction10.226.1416.37safe7.28–13.163.46–8.8210.74–21.99safer6.45–13.992.72–9.569.18–23.56
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction4.692.156.83safe2.81–6.570.49–3.803.30–10.37safer2.26–7.110.00–4.292.26–11.40
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.163.449.60safe3.95–8.381.44–5.445.39–13.82safer3.38–8.950.91–5.974.28–14.92
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction65.1634.18safe58.37–71.9527.39–40.96safer56.70–73.6225.72–42.63
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction631302933safe564–698236–368799–1067safer546–717218–386764–1102
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction75.4465.44safe71.41–79.4761.12–69.77safer70.12–80.7659.81–71.08
Fouls
23%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1414.3025.44safe8.30–13.9811.35–17.2419.66–31.22safer7.55–14.7410.60–17.9918.15–32.73
Offsides
24%
17%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.832.844.68safe0.67–3.001.75–3.942.42–6.93safer0.37–3.301.46–4.221.83–7.52
Yellow cards
17%
16%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction1.482.884.35safe0.43–2.531.75–4.002.17–6.53safer0.16–2.791.46–4.301.62–7.09
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.130.19safe0.00–0.230.00–0.320.00–0.54safer0.00–0.380.00–0.450.00–0.82
GK saves
19%
14%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.193.816.00safe0.75–3.632.25–5.373.01–8.99safer0.37–4.011.83–5.792.20–9.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.94 0.97–2.91 0.72–3.16 | 0.90 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.98 | 2.84 1.02–4.66 0.54–5.14 | 62% 21% 17% |
| Shots on target | 5.95 4.09–7.82 3.60–8.31 | 3.11 1.36–4.85 0.90–5.31 | 9.06 5.45–12.66 4.50–13.62 | 78% |
| Total shots | 16.19 12.27–20.12 11.18–21.21 | 9.37 5.80–12.93 4.84–13.89 | 25.56 18.07–33.05 16.02–35.10 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 10.22 7.28–13.16 6.45–13.99 | 6.14 3.46–8.82 2.72–9.56 | 16.37 10.74–21.99 9.18–23.56 | 81% |
| Blocked shots | 4.69 2.81–6.57 2.26–7.11 | 2.15 0.49–3.80 0.00–4.29 | 6.83 3.30–10.37 2.26–11.40 | 78% |
| Corners | 6.16 3.95–8.38 3.38–8.95 | 3.44 1.44–5.44 0.91–5.97 | 9.60 5.39–13.82 4.28–14.92 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 65.16 58.37–71.95 56.70–73.62 | 34.18 27.39–40.96 25.72–42.63 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 631 564–698 546–717 | 302 236–368 218–386 | 933 799–1067 764–1102 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.44 71.41–79.47 70.12–80.76 | 65.44 61.12–69.77 59.81–71.08 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 11.14 8.30–13.98 7.55–14.74 | 14.30 11.35–17.24 10.60–17.99 | 25.44 19.66–31.22 18.15–32.73 | 23% 70% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–3.00 0.37–3.30 | 2.84 1.75–3.94 1.46–4.22 | 4.68 2.42–6.93 1.83–7.52 | 24% 17% 59% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.43–2.53 0.16–2.79 | 2.88 1.75–4.00 1.46–4.30 | 4.35 2.17–6.53 1.62–7.09 | 17% 16% 66% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.19 0.75–3.63 0.37–4.01 | 3.81 2.25–5.37 1.83–5.79 | 6.00 3.01–8.99 2.20–9.81 | 19% 14% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.