Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.792.583.38safe0.00–1.761.73–3.441.55–5.20safer0.00–2.011.50–3.661.07–5.68
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction3.097.1710.26safe1.23–4.965.42–8.916.66–13.87safer0.74–5.454.96–9.385.70–14.82
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction9.3219.1628.48safe5.40–13.2515.60–22.7220.99–35.97safer4.30–14.3414.64–23.6818.94–38.02
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction5.9612.9118.86safe3.02–8.9010.22–15.5913.24–24.49safer2.19–9.739.49–16.3211.67–26.05
Blocked shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction2.365.357.71safe0.48–4.243.70–7.014.18–11.25safer0.00–4.793.21–7.503.14–12.28
Corners
17%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.736.209.93safe1.52–5.944.20–8.205.72–14.15safer0.94–6.523.67–8.734.61–15.25
Possession %
100%
homeawayprediction26.5174.91safe19.72–33.3068.13–81.70safer18.05–34.9766.46–83.37
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction262710973safe195–330644–777839–1106safer177–348627–794803–1142
Pass accuracy %
100%
homeawayprediction58.0584.43safe54.02–62.0880.11–88.75safer52.73–63.3778.80–90.06
Fouls
74%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction13.319.7823.08safe10.47–16.146.83–12.7217.30–28.87safer9.71–16.906.08–13.4715.80–30.37
Offsides
77%
homeawaytotalprediction3.911.705.61safe2.75–5.070.60–2.793.36–7.86safer2.45–5.370.31–3.082.77–8.45
Yellow cards
46%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.951.613.57safe0.90–3.000.48–2.741.39–5.74safer0.64–3.270.19–3.030.83–6.30
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
73%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.332.256.59safe2.90–5.770.70–3.813.60–9.58safer2.51–6.160.27–4.232.78–10.39
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.79 0.00–1.76 0.00–2.01 | 2.58 1.73–3.44 1.50–3.66 | 3.38 1.55–5.20 1.07–5.68 | 15% 76% |
| Shots on target | 3.09 1.23–4.96 0.74–5.45 | 7.17 5.42–8.91 4.96–9.38 | 10.26 6.66–13.87 5.70–14.82 | 87% |
| Total shots | 9.32 5.40–13.25 4.30–14.34 | 19.16 15.60–22.72 14.64–23.68 | 28.48 20.99–35.97 18.94–38.02 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 5.96 3.02–8.90 2.19–9.73 | 12.91 10.22–15.59 9.49–16.32 | 18.86 13.24–24.49 11.67–26.05 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 2.36 0.48–4.24 0.00–4.79 | 5.35 3.70–7.01 3.21–7.50 | 7.71 4.18–11.25 3.14–12.28 | 82% |
| Corners | 3.73 1.52–5.94 0.94–6.52 | 6.20 4.20–8.20 3.67–8.73 | 9.93 5.72–14.15 4.61–15.25 | 17% 73% |
| Possession % | 26.51 19.72–33.30 18.05–34.97 | 74.91 68.13–81.70 66.46–83.37 | — | 100% |
| Passes | 262 195–330 177–348 | 710 644–777 627–794 | 973 839–1106 803–1142 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 58.05 54.02–62.08 52.73–63.37 | 84.43 80.11–88.75 78.80–90.06 | — | 100% |
| Fouls | 13.31 10.47–16.14 9.71–16.90 | 9.78 6.83–12.72 6.08–13.47 | 23.08 17.30–28.87 15.80–30.37 | 74% 20% |
| Offsides | 3.91 2.75–5.07 2.45–5.37 | 1.70 0.60–2.79 0.31–3.08 | 5.61 3.36–7.86 2.77–8.45 | 77% |
| Yellow cards | 1.95 0.90–3.00 0.64–3.27 | 1.61 0.48–2.74 0.19–3.03 | 3.57 1.39–5.74 0.83–6.30 | 46% 22% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 4.33 2.90–5.77 2.51–6.16 | 2.25 0.70–3.81 0.27–4.23 | 6.59 3.60–9.58 2.78–10.39 | 73% 15% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+