La Liga·Regular Season - 18·
La Liga·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
19%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.062.243.30safe0.09–2.031.39–3.101.48–5.13safer0.00–2.281.16–3.331.00–5.61
Shots on target
15%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.456.049.49safe1.59–5.324.30–7.785.89–13.10safer1.10–5.803.83–8.254.93–14.05
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6216.5126.12safe5.69–13.5412.94–20.0718.64–33.61safer4.60–14.6311.98–21.0316.59–35.66
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction6.3011.2517.55safe3.36–9.248.57–13.9411.93–23.18safer2.53–10.077.84–14.6710.36–24.74
Blocked shots
20%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.654.397.04safe0.77–4.532.74–6.053.51–10.58safer0.23–5.082.25–6.542.47–11.62
Corners
17%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.876.3210.19safe1.65–6.084.32–8.325.98–14.40safer1.08–6.663.79–8.864.87–15.51
Possession %
20%
77%
homeawayprediction43.8457.31safe37.05–50.6350.53–64.10safer35.38–52.3048.86–65.77
Passes
17%
83%
homeawaytotalprediction418531949safe351–485464–597815–1083safer333–504447–615780–1118
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction65.3775.77safe61.34–69.3971.45–80.10safer60.04–70.6970.14–81.41
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6312.6324.26safe8.80–14.479.69–15.5718.48–30.05safer8.04–15.238.94–16.3216.98–31.55
Offsides
37%
18%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.512.765.27safe1.35–3.671.67–3.863.02–7.52safer1.04–3.971.38–4.152.43–8.11
Yellow cards
44%
20%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.181.944.13safe1.13–3.230.82–3.071.95–6.30safer0.87–3.500.52–3.361.39–6.86
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.080.19safe0.00–0.270.00–0.270.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.400.00–0.82
GK saves
67%
14%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.892.306.19safe2.45–5.320.75–3.863.20–9.18safer2.06–5.710.32–4.282.38–9.99
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.06 0.09–2.03 0.00–2.28 | 2.24 1.39–3.10 1.16–3.33 | 3.30 1.48–5.13 1.00–5.61 | 17% 19% 64% |
| Shots on target | 3.45 1.59–5.32 1.10–5.80 | 6.04 4.30–7.78 3.83–8.25 | 9.49 5.89–13.10 4.93–14.05 | 15% 75% |
| Total shots | 9.62 5.69–13.54 4.60–14.63 | 16.51 12.94–20.07 11.98–21.03 | 26.12 18.64–33.61 16.59–35.66 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 6.30 3.36–9.24 2.53–10.07 | 11.25 8.57–13.94 7.84–14.67 | 17.55 11.93–23.18 10.36–24.74 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 2.65 0.77–4.53 0.23–5.08 | 4.39 2.74–6.05 2.25–6.54 | 7.04 3.51–10.58 2.47–11.62 | 20% 68% |
| Corners | 3.87 1.65–6.08 1.08–6.66 | 6.32 4.32–8.32 3.79–8.86 | 10.19 5.98–14.40 4.87–15.51 | 17% 73% |
| Possession % | 43.84 37.05–50.63 35.38–52.30 | 57.31 50.53–64.10 48.86–65.77 | — | 20% 77% |
| Passes | 418 351–485 333–504 | 531 464–597 447–615 | 949 815–1083 780–1118 | 17% 83% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.37 61.34–69.39 60.04–70.69 | 75.77 71.45–80.10 70.14–81.41 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 11.63 8.80–14.47 8.04–15.23 | 12.63 9.69–15.57 8.94–16.32 | 24.26 18.48–30.05 16.98–31.55 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 2.51 1.35–3.67 1.04–3.97 | 2.76 1.67–3.86 1.38–4.15 | 5.27 3.02–7.52 2.43–8.11 | 37% 18% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 2.18 1.13–3.23 0.87–3.50 | 1.94 0.82–3.07 0.52–3.36 | 4.13 1.95–6.30 1.39–6.86 | 44% 20% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.89 2.45–5.32 2.06–5.71 | 2.30 0.75–3.86 0.32–4.28 | 6.19 3.20–9.18 2.38–9.99 | 67% 14% 20% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+