La Liga·Regular Season - 18·
La Liga·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.380.773.15safe1.41–3.350.00–1.631.33–4.97safer1.16–3.600.00–1.850.85–5.45
Shots on target
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.403.0910.50safe5.54–9.261.35–4.846.89–14.10safer5.05–9.750.89–5.305.94–15.06
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction20.169.5329.69safe16.24–24.095.97–13.1022.21–37.18safer15.14–25.185.01–14.0520.16–39.23
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction13.295.9519.25safe10.35–16.243.27–8.6413.62–24.87safer9.52–17.072.54–9.3712.06–26.44
Blocked shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.312.257.56safe3.43–7.190.59–3.904.02–11.09safer2.89–7.740.10–4.392.99–12.13
Corners
92%
homeawaytotalprediction8.293.2311.52safe6.08–10.501.23–5.237.30–15.73safer5.50–11.080.69–5.766.20–16.84
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction64.3135.32safe57.52–71.1028.53–42.10safer55.85–72.7726.86–43.77
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction611312923safe544–678245–378789–1056safer526–696228–396753–1092
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction75.7866.46safe71.75–79.8162.13–70.78safer70.46–81.1060.83–72.09
Fouls
20%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9814.6925.67safe8.15–13.8211.74–17.6319.89–31.45safer7.39–14.5810.99–18.3818.38–32.96
Offsides
47%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.483.36safe0.72–3.040.39–2.571.11–5.62safer0.42–3.340.10–2.860.52–6.20
Yellow cards
21%
18%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.482.554.03safe0.44–2.531.42–3.681.86–6.21safer0.17–2.801.13–3.971.30–6.77
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.150.21safe0.00–0.220.00–0.330.00–0.55safer0.00–0.370.00–0.460.00–0.84
GK saves
13%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction2.314.707.01safe0.87–3.743.14–6.264.01–10.00safer0.48–4.132.72–6.683.20–10.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.38 1.41–3.35 1.16–3.60 | 0.77 0.00–1.63 0.00–1.85 | 3.15 1.33–4.97 0.85–5.45 | 73% 17% |
| Shots on target | 7.40 5.54–9.26 5.05–9.75 | 3.09 1.35–4.84 0.89–5.30 | 10.50 6.89–14.10 5.94–15.06 | 88% |
| Total shots | 20.16 16.24–24.09 15.14–25.18 | 9.53 5.97–13.10 5.01–14.05 | 29.69 22.21–37.18 20.16–39.23 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 13.29 10.35–16.24 9.52–17.07 | 5.95 3.27–8.64 2.54–9.37 | 19.25 13.62–24.87 12.06–26.44 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 5.31 3.43–7.19 2.89–7.74 | 2.25 0.59–3.90 0.10–4.39 | 7.56 4.02–11.09 2.99–12.13 | 83% |
| Corners | 8.29 6.08–10.50 5.50–11.08 | 3.23 1.23–5.23 0.69–5.76 | 11.52 7.30–15.73 6.20–16.84 | 92% |
| Possession % | 64.31 57.52–71.10 55.85–72.77 | 35.32 28.53–42.10 26.86–43.77 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 611 544–678 526–696 | 312 245–378 228–396 | 923 789–1056 753–1092 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.78 71.75–79.81 70.46–81.10 | 66.46 62.13–70.78 60.83–72.09 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 10.98 8.15–13.82 7.39–14.58 | 14.69 11.74–17.63 10.99–18.38 | 25.67 19.89–31.45 18.38–32.96 | 20% 74% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 1.48 0.39–2.57 0.10–2.86 | 3.36 1.11–5.62 0.52–6.20 | 47% 22% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.44–2.53 0.17–2.80 | 2.55 1.42–3.68 1.13–3.97 | 4.03 1.86–6.21 1.30–6.77 | 21% 18% 61% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.15 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.31 0.87–3.74 0.48–4.13 | 4.70 3.14–6.26 2.72–6.68 | 7.01 4.01–10.00 3.20–10.81 | 13% 76% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+