La Liga·Regular Season - 19·
La Liga·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.262.89safe0.66–2.600.40–2.111.06–4.71safer0.41–2.850.17–2.340.58–5.19
Shots on target
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.064.239.29safe3.20–6.922.48–5.975.68–12.89safer2.71–7.412.02–6.434.73–13.85
Total shots
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0111.9926.00safe10.08–17.938.43–15.5518.51–33.49safer8.99–19.027.47–16.5116.46–35.54
Shots in box
64%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction9.827.8617.67safe6.87–12.765.18–10.5412.05–23.30safer6.05–13.594.44–11.2810.48–24.86
Blocked shots
58%
14%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.083.027.10safe2.20–5.971.36–4.673.57–10.64safer1.66–6.510.87–5.162.53–11.67
Corners
61%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.774.4010.17safe3.56–7.982.40–6.405.96–14.38safer2.98–8.561.87–6.934.85–15.49
Possession %
51%
45%
homeawayprediction50.9649.66safe44.17–57.7542.88–56.45safer42.50–59.4241.21–58.12
Passes
55%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction483468951safe416–550401–534817–1084safer398–569384–552781–1120
Pass accuracy %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction71.0174.26safe66.98–75.0469.94–78.59safer65.69–76.3368.63–79.90
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5713.0025.56safe9.73–15.4010.05–15.9419.78–31.35safer8.97–16.169.31–16.6918.28–32.85
Offsides
16%
15%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction1.543.074.61safe0.38–2.701.98–4.162.35–6.86safer0.08–3.001.69–4.451.76–7.45
Yellow cards
37%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.942.094.03safe0.89–2.990.96–3.221.85–6.21safer0.62–3.260.67–3.511.29–6.76
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
38%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.073.306.37safe1.64–4.511.74–4.853.38–9.36safer1.25–4.901.32–5.282.57–10.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 0.66–2.60 0.41–2.85 | 1.26 0.40–2.11 0.17–2.34 | 2.89 1.06–4.71 0.58–5.19 | 46% 24% 30% |
| Shots on target | 5.06 3.20–6.92 2.71–7.41 | 4.23 2.48–5.97 2.02–6.43 | 9.29 5.68–12.89 4.73–13.85 | 54% 33% |
| Total shots | 14.01 10.08–17.93 8.99–19.02 | 11.99 8.43–15.55 7.47–16.51 | 26.00 18.51–33.49 16.46–35.54 | 62% 31% |
| Shots in box | 9.82 6.87–12.76 6.05–13.59 | 7.86 5.18–10.54 4.44–11.28 | 17.67 12.05–23.30 10.48–24.86 | 64% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 4.08 2.20–5.97 1.66–6.51 | 3.02 1.36–4.67 0.87–5.16 | 7.10 3.57–10.64 2.53–11.67 | 58% 14% 28% |
| Corners | 5.77 3.56–7.98 2.98–8.56 | 4.40 2.40–6.40 1.87–6.93 | 10.17 5.96–14.38 4.85–15.49 | 61% 28% |
| Possession % | 50.96 44.17–57.75 42.50–59.42 | 49.66 42.88–56.45 41.21–58.12 | — | 51% 45% |
| Passes | 483 416–550 398–569 | 468 401–534 384–552 | 951 817–1084 781–1120 | 55% 45% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.01 66.98–75.04 65.69–76.33 | 74.26 69.94–78.59 68.63–79.90 | — | 31% 64% |
| Fouls | 12.57 9.73–15.40 8.97–16.16 | 13.00 10.05–15.94 9.31–16.69 | 25.56 19.78–31.35 18.28–32.85 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.00 | 3.07 1.98–4.16 1.69–4.45 | 4.61 2.35–6.86 1.76–7.45 | 16% 15% 68% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.62–3.26 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 4.03 1.85–6.21 1.29–6.76 | 37% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.07 1.64–4.51 1.25–4.90 | 3.30 1.74–4.85 1.32–5.28 | 6.37 3.38–9.36 2.57–10.17 | 38% 16% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+