La Liga·Regular Season - 19·
La Liga·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.590.843.43safe1.63–3.560.00–1.691.61–5.26safer1.37–3.810.00–1.921.13–5.74
Shots on target
92%
homeawaytotalprediction7.312.589.90safe5.45–9.180.84–4.326.29–13.50safer4.96–9.670.37–4.795.34–14.46
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction19.698.0127.70safe15.77–23.624.45–11.5720.22–35.19safer14.68–24.713.49–12.5318.16–37.24
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction13.745.0418.78safe10.79–16.682.36–7.7213.16–24.40safer9.96–17.511.62–8.4611.59–25.97
Blocked shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction5.221.656.87safe3.34–7.100.00–3.303.33–10.40safer2.80–7.650.00–3.792.30–11.44
Corners
92%
homeawaytotalprediction7.732.7610.49safe5.52–9.940.76–4.766.28–14.71safer4.94–10.520.23–5.295.17–15.81
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction61.3139.21safe54.52–68.1032.43–46.00safer52.85–69.7730.76–47.67
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction6143941007safe546–681327–460874–1141safer528–699310–478838–1177
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction78.3069.84safe74.27–82.3365.52–74.17safer72.98–83.6264.21–75.48
Fouls
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4210.2221.64safe8.59–14.267.27–13.1615.86–27.42safer7.83–15.026.52–13.9114.35–28.93
Offsides
68%
16%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.971.474.44safe1.81–4.130.38–2.562.19–6.70safer1.51–4.440.09–2.851.60–7.29
Yellow cards
29%
23%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.773.11safe0.29–2.390.64–2.900.93–5.28safer0.02–2.650.35–3.190.37–5.84
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
84%
homeawaytotalprediction1.724.666.38safe0.28–3.163.10–6.223.39–9.37safer0.00–3.542.68–6.642.57–10.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.59 1.63–3.56 1.37–3.81 | 0.84 0.00–1.69 0.00–1.92 | 3.43 1.61–5.26 1.13–5.74 | 75% 15% |
| Shots on target | 7.31 5.45–9.18 4.96–9.67 | 2.58 0.84–4.32 0.37–4.79 | 9.90 6.29–13.50 5.34–14.46 | 92% |
| Total shots | 19.69 15.77–23.62 14.68–24.71 | 8.01 4.45–11.57 3.49–12.53 | 27.70 20.22–35.19 18.16–37.24 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.74 10.79–16.68 9.96–17.51 | 5.04 2.36–7.72 1.62–8.46 | 18.78 13.16–24.40 11.59–25.97 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.22 3.34–7.10 2.80–7.65 | 1.65 0.00–3.30 0.00–3.79 | 6.87 3.33–10.40 2.30–11.44 | 89% |
| Corners | 7.73 5.52–9.94 4.94–10.52 | 2.76 0.76–4.76 0.23–5.29 | 10.49 6.28–14.71 5.17–15.81 | 92% |
| Possession % | 61.31 54.52–68.10 52.85–69.77 | 39.21 32.43–46.00 30.76–47.67 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 614 546–681 528–699 | 394 327–460 310–478 | 1007 874–1141 838–1177 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.30 74.27–82.33 72.98–83.62 | 69.84 65.52–74.17 64.21–75.48 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.42 8.59–14.26 7.83–15.02 | 10.22 7.27–13.16 6.52–13.91 | 21.64 15.86–27.42 14.35–28.93 | 56% 36% |
| Offsides | 2.97 1.81–4.13 1.51–4.44 | 1.47 0.38–2.56 0.09–2.85 | 4.44 2.19–6.70 1.60–7.29 | 68% 16% 16% |
| Yellow cards | 1.34 0.29–2.39 0.02–2.65 | 1.77 0.64–2.90 0.35–3.19 | 3.11 0.93–5.28 0.37–5.84 | 29% 23% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 1.72 0.28–3.16 0.00–3.54 | 4.66 3.10–6.22 2.68–6.64 | 6.38 3.39–9.37 2.57–10.18 | 84% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.