La Liga·Regular Season - 19·
La Liga·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
24%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.041.752.79safe0.07–2.010.90–2.610.97–4.62safer0.00–2.260.67–2.830.49–5.09
Shots on target
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.725.178.89safe1.86–5.593.43–6.915.29–12.50safer1.37–6.082.96–7.384.33–13.45
Total shots
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4715.1327.60safe8.55–16.4011.57–18.6920.11–35.09safer7.45–17.4910.61–19.6518.06–37.14
Shots in box
31%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction8.249.7818.02safe5.30–11.187.10–12.4612.40–23.64safer4.47–12.016.36–13.2010.83–25.21
Blocked shots
31%
14%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.514.397.90safe1.63–5.392.74–6.054.37–11.44safer1.08–5.932.25–6.543.33–12.47
Corners
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.974.799.76safe2.76–7.192.79–6.795.55–13.98safer2.19–7.762.26–7.324.44–15.09
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction41.0060.67safe34.21–47.7953.89–67.46safer32.54–49.4652.22–69.13
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction363535898safe296–431468–601764–1032safer278–449451–619729–1067
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction63.2475.34safe59.21–67.2771.02–79.66safer57.92–68.5669.71–80.97
Fouls
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9311.3325.26safe11.09–16.778.39–14.2819.48–31.04safer10.33–17.527.64–15.0317.97–32.55
Offsides
68%
16%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.781.314.09safe1.62–3.940.22–2.401.84–6.35safer1.32–4.240.00–2.691.25–6.94
Yellow cards
42%
20%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.111.994.11safe1.06–3.160.86–3.121.93–6.28safer0.80–3.430.57–3.411.37–6.84
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.83
GK saves
55%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.642.806.45safe2.21–5.081.25–4.363.45–9.44safer1.82–5.470.82–4.782.64–10.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.04 0.07–2.01 0.00–2.26 | 1.75 0.90–2.61 0.67–2.83 | 2.79 0.97–4.62 0.49–5.09 | 22% 24% 54% |
| Shots on target | 3.72 1.86–5.59 1.37–6.08 | 5.17 3.43–6.91 2.96–7.38 | 8.89 5.29–12.50 4.33–13.45 | 26% 62% |
| Total shots | 12.47 8.55–16.40 7.45–17.49 | 15.13 11.57–18.69 10.61–19.65 | 27.60 20.11–35.09 18.06–37.14 | 27% 66% |
| Shots in box | 8.24 5.30–11.18 4.47–12.01 | 9.78 7.10–12.46 6.36–13.20 | 18.02 12.40–23.64 10.83–25.21 | 31% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 3.51 1.63–5.39 1.08–5.93 | 4.39 2.74–6.05 2.25–6.54 | 7.90 4.37–11.44 3.33–12.47 | 31% 14% 55% |
| Corners | 4.97 2.76–7.19 2.19–7.76 | 4.79 2.79–6.79 2.26–7.32 | 9.76 5.55–13.98 4.44–15.09 | 46% 41% |
| Possession % | 41.00 34.21–47.79 32.54–49.46 | 60.67 53.89–67.46 52.22–69.13 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 363 296–431 278–449 | 535 468–601 451–619 | 898 764–1032 729–1067 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.24 59.21–67.27 57.92–68.56 | 75.34 71.02–79.66 69.71–80.97 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 13.93 11.09–16.77 10.33–17.52 | 11.33 8.39–14.28 7.64–15.03 | 25.26 19.48–31.04 17.97–32.55 | 66% 27% |
| Offsides | 2.78 1.62–3.94 1.32–4.24 | 1.31 0.22–2.40 0.00–2.69 | 4.09 1.84–6.35 1.25–6.94 | 68% 16% 16% |
| Yellow cards | 2.11 1.06–3.16 0.80–3.43 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 4.11 1.93–6.28 1.37–6.84 | 42% 20% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.64 2.21–5.08 1.82–5.47 | 2.80 1.25–4.36 0.82–4.78 | 6.45 3.45–9.44 2.64–10.25 | 55% 15% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.