Predicted match statistics
Goals
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.702.923.62safe0.00–1.662.07–3.781.80–5.44safer0.00–1.921.84–4.011.32–5.92
Shots on target
93%
homeawaytotalprediction2.477.399.86safe0.60–4.335.65–9.136.25–13.46safer0.11–4.825.18–9.605.30–14.42
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction6.7020.6427.34safe2.77–10.6217.08–24.2019.85–34.83safer1.68–11.7116.12–25.1617.80–36.88
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction4.9113.6418.56safe1.97–7.8510.96–16.3212.93–24.18safer1.14–8.6810.23–17.0611.37–25.75
Blocked shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction1.585.607.18safe0.00–3.463.95–7.263.65–10.72safer0.00–4.013.46–7.752.61–11.76
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction2.546.769.30safe0.32–4.754.76–8.765.09–13.51safer0.00–5.324.23–9.303.98–14.62
Possession %
100%
homeawayprediction23.0577.74safe16.26–29.8470.95–84.52safer14.59–31.5169.28–86.19
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction2447861029safe176–311719–852896–1163safer158–329702–870860–1199
Pass accuracy %
100%
homeawayprediction57.3986.54safe53.36–61.4282.22–90.87safer52.07–62.7280.91–92.18
Fouls
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction12.409.7322.14safe9.57–15.246.79–12.6816.35–27.92safer8.81–16.006.04–13.4314.85–29.42
Offsides
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.751.675.43safe2.59–4.910.58–2.773.17–7.68safer2.29–5.210.29–3.062.58–8.27
Yellow cards
55%
20%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.221.483.70safe1.17–3.270.35–2.601.52–5.88safer0.91–3.540.05–2.900.96–6.43
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.080.22safe0.00–0.300.00–0.270.00–0.57safer0.00–0.450.00–0.400.00–0.85
GK saves
83%
homeawaytotalprediction4.831.906.73safe3.39–6.260.34–3.463.73–9.72safer3.00–6.650.00–3.882.92–10.53
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.70 0.00–1.66 0.00–1.92 | 2.92 2.07–3.78 1.84–4.01 | 3.62 1.80–5.44 1.32–5.92 | 82% |
| Shots on target | 2.47 0.60–4.33 0.11–4.82 | 7.39 5.65–9.13 5.18–9.60 | 9.86 6.25–13.46 5.30–14.42 | 93% |
| Total shots | 6.70 2.77–10.62 1.68–11.71 | 20.64 17.08–24.20 16.12–25.16 | 27.34 19.85–34.83 17.80–36.88 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 4.91 1.97–7.85 1.14–8.68 | 13.64 10.96–16.32 10.23–17.06 | 18.56 12.93–24.18 11.37–25.75 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 1.58 0.00–3.46 0.00–4.01 | 5.60 3.95–7.26 3.46–7.75 | 7.18 3.65–10.72 2.61–11.76 | 91% |
| Corners | 2.54 0.32–4.75 0.00–5.32 | 6.76 4.76–8.76 4.23–9.30 | 9.30 5.09–13.51 3.98–14.62 | 89% |
| Possession % | 23.05 16.26–29.84 14.59–31.51 | 77.74 70.95–84.52 69.28–86.19 | — | 100% |
| Passes | 244 176–311 158–329 | 786 719–852 702–870 | 1029 896–1163 860–1199 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 57.39 53.36–61.42 52.07–62.72 | 86.54 82.22–90.87 80.91–92.18 | — | 100% |
| Fouls | 12.40 9.57–15.24 8.81–16.00 | 9.73 6.79–12.68 6.04–13.43 | 22.14 16.35–27.92 14.85–29.42 | 68% 25% |
| Offsides | 3.75 2.59–4.91 2.29–5.21 | 1.67 0.58–2.77 0.29–3.06 | 5.43 3.17–7.68 2.58–8.27 | 75% |
| Yellow cards | 2.22 1.17–3.27 0.91–3.54 | 1.48 0.35–2.60 0.05–2.90 | 3.70 1.52–5.88 0.96–6.43 | 55% 20% 25% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 4.83 3.39–6.26 3.00–6.65 | 1.90 0.34–3.46 0.00–3.88 | 6.73 3.73–9.72 2.92–10.53 | 83% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+