La Liga·Regular Season - 19·
La Liga·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.700.883.57safe1.73–3.670.02–1.731.75–5.40safer1.48–3.920.00–1.961.27–5.88
Shots on target
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.733.3211.05safe5.87–9.591.58–5.067.44–14.65safer5.38–10.081.11–5.536.49–15.61
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction20.929.6130.53safe17.00–24.856.05–13.1823.05–38.02safer15.90–25.945.09–14.1421.00–40.07
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction13.886.4420.32safe10.94–16.823.76–9.1214.70–25.94safer10.11–17.653.02–9.8613.13–27.51
Blocked shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.422.277.68safe3.54–7.300.61–3.924.15–11.22safer2.99–7.840.12–4.413.11–12.25
Corners
90%
homeawaytotalprediction8.273.3811.65safe6.06–10.481.38–5.397.44–15.87safer5.48–11.060.85–5.926.33–16.97
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.4237.93safe55.63–69.2131.14–44.71safer53.96–70.8829.47–46.38
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction613373986safe546–680307–439852–1120safer528–698289–457817–1155
Pass accuracy %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction76.9869.95safe72.95–81.0165.62–74.27safer71.66–82.3164.32–75.58
Fouls
33%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2211.7221.95safe7.39–13.068.78–14.6716.17–27.73safer6.63–13.828.03–15.4214.66–29.24
Offsides
62%
18%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.651.524.17safe1.49–3.810.43–2.621.92–6.43safer1.19–4.110.14–2.901.33–7.02
Yellow cards
28%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.953.38safe0.39–2.490.82–3.081.21–5.56safer0.12–2.750.53–3.370.65–6.12
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
79%
homeawaytotalprediction2.425.137.55safe0.98–3.853.57–6.694.55–10.54safer0.59–4.243.15–7.113.74–11.35
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.70 1.73–3.67 1.48–3.92 | 0.88 0.02–1.73 0.00–1.96 | 3.57 1.75–5.40 1.27–5.88 | 76% 15% |
| Shots on target | 7.73 5.87–9.59 5.38–10.08 | 3.32 1.58–5.06 1.11–5.53 | 11.05 7.44–14.65 6.49–15.61 | 88% |
| Total shots | 20.92 17.00–24.85 15.90–25.94 | 9.61 6.05–13.18 5.09–14.14 | 30.53 23.05–38.02 21.00–40.07 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 13.88 10.94–16.82 10.11–17.65 | 6.44 3.76–9.12 3.02–9.86 | 20.32 14.70–25.94 13.13–27.51 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 5.42 3.54–7.30 2.99–7.84 | 2.27 0.61–3.92 0.12–4.41 | 7.68 4.15–11.22 3.11–12.25 | 83% |
| Corners | 8.27 6.06–10.48 5.48–11.06 | 3.38 1.38–5.39 0.85–5.92 | 11.65 7.44–15.87 6.33–16.97 | 90% |
| Possession % | 62.42 55.63–69.21 53.96–70.88 | 37.93 31.14–44.71 29.47–46.38 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 613 546–680 528–698 | 373 307–439 289–457 | 986 852–1120 817–1155 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.98 72.95–81.01 71.66–82.31 | 69.95 65.62–74.27 64.32–75.58 | — | 80% 17% |
| Fouls | 10.22 7.39–13.06 6.63–13.82 | 11.72 8.78–14.67 8.03–15.42 | 21.95 16.17–27.73 14.66–29.24 | 33% 58% |
| Offsides | 2.65 1.49–3.81 1.19–4.11 | 1.52 0.43–2.62 0.14–2.90 | 4.17 1.92–6.43 1.33–7.02 | 62% 18% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 1.44 0.39–2.49 0.12–2.75 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 3.38 1.21–5.56 0.65–6.12 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.42 0.98–3.85 0.59–4.24 | 5.13 3.57–6.69 3.15–7.11 | 7.55 4.55–10.54 3.74–11.35 | 79% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.