La Liga·Regular Season - 19·
La Liga·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
28%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.101.212.31safe0.13–2.070.35–2.060.48–4.13safer0.00–2.320.13–2.290.01–4.61
Shots on target
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.153.817.96safe2.29–6.022.07–5.554.36–11.57safer1.80–6.511.60–6.023.40–12.52
Total shots
66%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9210.3823.30safe8.99–16.846.82–13.9415.81–30.79safer7.90–17.935.86–14.9013.76–32.84
Shots in box
58%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction7.926.6314.56safe4.98–10.863.95–9.328.93–20.18safer4.15–11.693.22–10.057.37–21.75
Blocked shots
61%
15%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.642.476.11safe1.76–5.520.81–4.122.57–9.64safer1.21–6.070.32–4.611.54–10.68
Corners
58%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.013.908.91safe2.80–7.231.90–5.904.70–13.13safer2.23–7.801.37–6.433.59–14.23
Possession %
29%
67%
homeawayprediction45.7754.37safe38.98–52.5647.59–61.16safer37.31–54.2345.91–62.83
Passes
29%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction396462858safe329–463396–529725–992safer311–481378–546689–1028
Pass accuracy %
24%
71%
homeawayprediction66.1270.99safe62.09–70.1566.67–75.32safer60.79–71.4465.36–76.63
Fouls
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1414.2326.37safe9.30–14.9811.28–17.1720.59–32.15safer8.55–15.7310.54–17.9219.08–33.66
Offsides
28%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.532.083.60safe0.37–2.690.98–3.171.35–5.86safer0.07–2.990.70–3.460.76–6.45
Yellow cards
30%
19%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.972.544.51safe0.92–3.021.41–3.672.34–6.69safer0.66–3.291.12–3.961.78–7.25
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
33%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.462.995.45safe1.02–3.891.43–4.542.45–8.44safer0.63–4.281.01–4.971.64–9.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.10 0.13–2.07 0.00–2.32 | 1.21 0.35–2.06 0.13–2.29 | 2.31 0.48–4.13 0.01–4.61 | 33% 28% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.15 2.29–6.02 1.80–6.51 | 3.81 2.07–5.55 1.60–6.02 | 7.96 4.36–11.57 3.40–12.52 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Total shots | 12.92 8.99–16.84 7.90–17.93 | 10.38 6.82–13.94 5.86–14.90 | 23.30 15.81–30.79 13.76–32.84 | 66% 26% |
| Shots in box | 7.92 4.98–10.86 4.15–11.69 | 6.63 3.95–9.32 3.22–10.05 | 14.56 8.93–20.18 7.37–21.75 | 58% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.64 1.76–5.52 1.21–6.07 | 2.47 0.81–4.12 0.32–4.61 | 6.11 2.57–9.64 1.54–10.68 | 61% 15% 25% |
| Corners | 5.01 2.80–7.23 2.23–7.80 | 3.90 1.90–5.90 1.37–6.43 | 8.91 4.70–13.13 3.59–14.23 | 58% 29% |
| Possession % | 45.77 38.98–52.56 37.31–54.23 | 54.37 47.59–61.16 45.91–62.83 | — | 29% 67% |
| Passes | 396 329–463 311–481 | 462 396–529 378–546 | 858 725–992 689–1028 | 29% 71% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.12 62.09–70.15 60.79–71.44 | 70.99 66.67–75.32 65.36–76.63 | — | 24% 71% |
| Fouls | 12.14 9.30–14.98 8.55–15.73 | 14.23 11.28–17.17 10.54–17.92 | 26.37 20.59–32.15 19.08–33.66 | 31% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.53 0.37–2.69 0.07–2.99 | 2.08 0.98–3.17 0.70–3.46 | 3.60 1.35–5.86 0.76–6.45 | 28% 21% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.92–3.02 0.66–3.29 | 2.54 1.41–3.67 1.12–3.96 | 4.51 2.34–6.69 1.78–7.25 | 30% 19% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.46 1.02–3.89 0.63–4.28 | 2.99 1.43–4.54 1.01–4.97 | 5.45 2.45–8.44 1.64–9.25 | 33% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.