Predicted match statistics
Goals
91%
homeawaytotalprediction4.080.754.83safe3.11–5.050.00–1.603.00–6.65safer2.86–5.300.00–1.832.52–7.13
Shots on target
96%
homeawaytotalprediction9.052.6911.74safe7.19–10.920.95–4.438.14–15.35safer6.70–11.410.48–4.907.18–16.30
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction21.637.3728.99safe17.70–25.553.80–10.9321.50–36.48safer16.61–26.642.84–11.8919.45–38.53
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction15.514.4519.96safe12.57–18.451.77–7.1314.34–25.59safer11.74–19.281.03–7.8712.77–27.15
Blocked shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction5.111.466.57safe3.23–6.990.00–3.113.04–10.11safer2.69–7.540.00–3.602.00–11.14
Corners
97%
homeawaytotalprediction8.892.4211.31safe6.67–11.100.42–4.427.09–15.52safer6.10–11.680.00–4.955.99–16.63
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction69.3330.69safe62.54–76.1223.90–37.47safer60.87–77.7922.23–39.14
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7223331054safe654–789266–399921–1188safer636–807249–417885–1224
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction81.4967.67safe77.46–85.5263.34–71.99safer76.17–86.8162.03–73.30
Fouls
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2712.3522.62safe7.43–13.119.41–15.3016.84–28.41safer6.68–13.868.66–16.0515.34–29.91
Offsides
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.993.257.24safe2.83–5.152.16–4.354.99–9.49safer2.53–5.451.87–4.634.40–10.08
Yellow cards
27%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.472.083.54safe0.42–2.520.95–3.211.37–5.72safer0.15–2.780.66–3.500.81–6.28
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.310.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
89%
homeawaytotalprediction1.765.407.16safe0.32–3.193.84–6.964.16–10.15safer0.00–3.583.42–7.383.35–10.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4.08 3.11–5.05 2.86–5.30 | 0.75 0.00–1.60 0.00–1.83 | 4.83 3.00–6.65 2.52–7.13 | 91% |
| Shots on target | 9.05 7.19–10.92 6.70–11.41 | 2.69 0.95–4.43 0.48–4.90 | 11.74 8.14–15.35 7.18–16.30 | 96% |
| Total shots | 21.63 17.70–25.55 16.61–26.64 | 7.37 3.80–10.93 2.84–11.89 | 28.99 21.50–36.48 19.45–38.53 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 15.51 12.57–18.45 11.74–19.28 | 4.45 1.77–7.13 1.03–7.87 | 19.96 14.34–25.59 12.77–27.15 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 5.11 3.23–6.99 2.69–7.54 | 1.46 0.00–3.11 0.00–3.60 | 6.57 3.04–10.11 2.00–11.14 | 90% |
| Corners | 8.89 6.67–11.10 6.10–11.68 | 2.42 0.42–4.42 0.00–4.95 | 11.31 7.09–15.52 5.99–16.63 | 97% |
| Possession % | 69.33 62.54–76.12 60.87–77.79 | 30.69 23.90–37.47 22.23–39.14 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 722 654–789 636–807 | 333 266–399 249–417 | 1054 921–1188 885–1224 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.49 77.46–85.52 76.17–86.81 | 67.67 63.34–71.99 62.03–73.30 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 10.27 7.43–13.11 6.68–13.86 | 12.35 9.41–15.30 8.66–16.05 | 22.62 16.84–28.41 15.34–29.91 | 29% 63% |
| Offsides | 3.99 2.83–5.15 2.53–5.45 | 3.25 2.16–4.35 1.87–4.63 | 7.24 4.99–9.49 4.40–10.08 | 53% 15% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.47 0.42–2.52 0.15–2.78 | 2.08 0.95–3.21 0.66–3.50 | 3.54 1.37–5.72 0.81–6.28 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 1.76 0.32–3.19 0.00–3.58 | 5.40 3.84–6.96 3.42–7.38 | 7.16 4.16–10.15 3.35–10.96 | 89% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+