La Liga·Regular Season - 20·
La Liga·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
23%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.780.892.67safe0.81–2.750.04–1.750.85–4.50safer0.56–3.000.00–1.980.37–4.98
Shots on target
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.793.249.03safe3.93–7.651.49–4.985.42–12.63safer3.44–8.141.03–5.444.47–13.59
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction16.169.5925.75safe12.23–20.086.03–13.1518.26–33.23safer11.14–21.175.07–14.1116.21–35.29
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction10.716.1916.90safe7.77–13.653.51–8.8711.28–22.53safer6.94–14.482.77–9.619.71–24.09
Blocked shots
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.642.917.55safe2.75–6.521.26–4.574.01–11.09safer2.21–7.060.77–5.062.98–12.12
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.933.739.65safe3.71–8.141.73–5.735.44–13.87safer3.14–8.711.19–6.264.33–14.97
Possession %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction56.5944.24safe49.80–63.3837.45–51.02safer48.13–65.0535.78–52.69
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction547402949safe480–615335–468816–1083safer462–633318–486780–1119
Pass accuracy %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction73.4969.67safe69.46–77.5265.35–74.00safer68.17–78.8164.04–75.31
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5111.3321.84safe7.67–13.358.39–14.2816.06–27.63safer6.92–14.107.64–15.0314.56–29.13
Offsides
60%
19%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.341.333.68safe1.18–3.500.24–2.431.42–5.93safer0.88–3.810.00–2.710.83–6.52
Yellow cards
27%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.432.003.43safe0.38–2.480.87–3.131.25–5.60safer0.11–2.740.58–3.420.69–6.16
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
23%
15%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.333.605.93safe0.90–3.772.04–5.152.94–8.92safer0.51–4.161.61–5.582.12–9.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.78 0.81–2.75 0.56–3.00 | 0.89 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 2.67 0.85–4.50 0.37–4.98 | 58% 23% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.79 3.93–7.65 3.44–8.14 | 3.24 1.49–4.98 1.03–5.44 | 9.03 5.42–12.63 4.47–13.59 | 75% 15% |
| Total shots | 16.16 12.23–20.08 11.14–21.17 | 9.59 6.03–13.15 5.07–14.11 | 25.75 18.26–33.23 16.21–35.29 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 10.71 7.77–13.65 6.94–14.48 | 6.19 3.51–8.87 2.77–9.61 | 16.90 11.28–22.53 9.71–24.09 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 4.64 2.75–6.52 2.21–7.06 | 2.91 1.26–4.57 0.77–5.06 | 7.55 4.01–11.09 2.98–12.12 | 67% 21% |
| Corners | 5.93 3.71–8.14 3.14–8.71 | 3.73 1.73–5.73 1.19–6.26 | 9.65 5.44–13.87 4.33–14.97 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 56.59 49.80–63.38 48.13–65.05 | 44.24 37.45–51.02 35.78–52.69 | — | 75% 21% |
| Passes | 547 480–615 462–633 | 402 335–468 318–486 | 949 816–1083 780–1119 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.49 69.46–77.52 68.17–78.81 | 69.67 65.35–74.00 64.04–75.31 | — | 67% 29% |
| Fouls | 10.51 7.67–13.35 6.92–14.10 | 11.33 8.39–14.28 7.64–15.03 | 21.84 16.06–27.63 14.56–29.13 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.34 1.18–3.50 0.88–3.81 | 1.33 0.24–2.43 0.00–2.71 | 3.68 1.42–5.93 0.83–6.52 | 60% 19% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 1.43 0.38–2.48 0.11–2.74 | 2.00 0.87–3.13 0.58–3.42 | 3.43 1.25–5.60 0.69–6.16 | 27% 22% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.33 0.90–3.77 0.51–4.16 | 3.60 2.04–5.15 1.61–5.58 | 5.93 2.94–8.92 2.12–9.73 | 23% 15% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+