Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
25%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.171.512.68safe0.20–2.140.66–2.370.86–4.51safer0.00–2.390.43–2.600.38–4.99
Shots on target
36%
14%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.874.398.26safe2.00–5.732.65–6.134.65–11.86safer1.51–6.222.18–6.603.70–12.82
Total shots
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9213.1626.07safe8.99–16.849.59–16.7218.59–33.56safer7.90–17.938.63–17.6816.54–35.61
Shots in box
36%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction7.728.6216.34safe4.78–10.665.94–11.3010.72–21.96safer3.95–11.495.20–12.039.15–23.53
Blocked shots
43%
15%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.513.436.95safe1.63–5.391.78–5.093.41–10.48safer1.09–5.941.29–5.582.37–11.52
Corners
39%
13%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.594.929.51safe2.37–6.802.92–6.925.29–13.72safer1.80–7.372.39–7.454.19–14.83
Possession %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction48.7651.43safe41.97–55.5544.65–58.22safer40.30–57.2242.97–59.89
Passes
49%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction416418834safe349–483351–484700–967safer331–501334–502664–1003
Pass accuracy %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction67.6371.42safe63.60–71.6667.10–75.75safer62.31–72.9565.79–77.06
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5113.8625.37safe8.67–14.3510.91–16.8019.59–31.15safer7.92–15.1010.16–17.5518.08–32.65
Offsides
21%
19%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.402.433.82safe0.23–2.561.34–3.521.57–6.08safer0.00–2.861.05–3.810.98–6.67
Yellow cards
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.902.294.20safe0.85–2.951.16–3.422.02–6.38safer0.59–3.220.87–3.711.46–6.93
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
46%
17%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.932.625.55safe1.49–4.371.07–4.182.56–8.55safer1.11–4.750.64–4.601.75–9.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 0.20–2.14 0.00–2.39 | 1.51 0.66–2.37 0.43–2.60 | 2.68 0.86–4.51 0.38–4.99 | 29% 25% 45% |
| Shots on target | 3.87 2.00–5.73 1.51–6.22 | 4.39 2.65–6.13 2.18–6.60 | 8.26 4.65–11.86 3.70–12.82 | 36% 14% 50% |
| Total shots | 12.92 8.99–16.84 7.90–17.93 | 13.16 9.59–16.72 8.63–17.68 | 26.07 18.59–33.56 16.54–35.61 | 44% 48% |
| Shots in box | 7.72 4.78–10.66 3.95–11.49 | 8.62 5.94–11.30 5.20–12.03 | 16.34 10.72–21.96 9.15–23.53 | 36% 54% |
| Blocked shots | 3.51 1.63–5.39 1.09–5.94 | 3.43 1.78–5.09 1.29–5.58 | 6.95 3.41–10.48 2.37–11.52 | 43% 15% 41% |
| Corners | 4.59 2.37–6.80 1.80–7.37 | 4.92 2.92–6.92 2.39–7.45 | 9.51 5.29–13.72 4.19–14.83 | 39% 13% 48% |
| Possession % | 48.76 41.97–55.55 40.30–57.22 | 51.43 44.65–58.22 42.97–59.89 | — | 41% 54% |
| Passes | 416 349–483 331–501 | 418 351–484 334–502 | 834 700–967 664–1003 | 49% 50% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.63 63.60–71.66 62.31–72.95 | 71.42 67.10–75.75 65.79–77.06 | — | 29% 66% |
| Fouls | 11.51 8.67–14.35 7.92–15.10 | 13.86 10.91–16.80 10.16–17.55 | 25.37 19.59–31.15 18.08–32.65 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.40 0.23–2.56 0.00–2.86 | 2.43 1.34–3.52 1.05–3.81 | 3.82 1.57–6.08 0.98–6.67 | 21% 19% 60% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.59–3.22 | 2.29 1.16–3.42 0.87–3.71 | 4.20 2.02–6.38 1.46–6.93 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.93 1.49–4.37 1.11–4.75 | 2.62 1.07–4.18 0.64–4.60 | 5.55 2.56–8.55 1.75–9.36 | 46% 17% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+