La Liga·Regular Season - 20·
La Liga·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.773.274.04safe0.00–1.742.42–4.132.22–5.86safer0.00–1.992.19–4.361.74–6.34
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction3.537.7911.32safe1.67–5.406.04–9.537.71–14.93safer1.18–5.895.58–10.006.76–15.88
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2819.3030.58safe7.35–15.2015.74–22.8623.09–38.06safer6.26–16.2914.78–23.8221.04–40.11
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction6.0713.0719.14safe3.13–9.0110.39–15.7513.52–24.76safer2.30–9.849.66–16.4911.95–26.33
Blocked shots
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.115.098.20safe1.23–4.993.44–6.754.67–11.74safer0.68–5.532.95–7.243.63–12.77
Corners
21%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction4.246.2910.53safe2.03–6.454.29–8.296.31–14.74safer1.45–7.033.75–8.825.21–15.85
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction40.7459.14safe33.95–47.5352.35–65.92safer32.28–49.2050.68–67.59
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction412581994safe345–479515–648860–1127safer327–497497–665824–1163
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction66.4477.02safe62.41–70.4772.69–81.34safer61.12–71.7771.38–82.65
Fouls
76%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction13.699.7223.41safe10.85–16.536.77–12.6617.63–29.19safer10.10–17.296.02–13.4116.12–30.69
Offsides
27%
20%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.642.313.95safe0.48–2.801.22–3.401.70–6.20safer0.18–3.100.93–3.691.11–6.79
Yellow cards
54%
20%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.231.533.76safe1.18–3.280.40–2.661.58–5.93safer0.91–3.540.11–2.951.02–6.49
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.080.22safe0.00–0.300.00–0.260.00–0.57safer0.00–0.450.00–0.400.00–0.85
GK saves
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.032.637.66safe3.60–6.471.07–4.184.67–10.65safer3.21–6.860.65–4.613.85–11.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.77 0.00–1.74 0.00–1.99 | 3.27 2.42–4.13 2.19–4.36 | 4.04 2.22–5.86 1.74–6.34 | 85% |
| Shots on target | 3.53 1.67–5.40 1.18–5.89 | 7.79 6.04–9.53 5.58–10.00 | 11.32 7.71–14.93 6.76–15.88 | 87% |
| Total shots | 11.28 7.35–15.20 6.26–16.29 | 19.30 15.74–22.86 14.78–23.82 | 30.58 23.09–38.06 21.04–40.11 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 6.07 3.13–9.01 2.30–9.84 | 13.07 10.39–15.75 9.66–16.49 | 19.14 13.52–24.76 11.95–26.33 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 3.11 1.23–4.99 0.68–5.53 | 5.09 3.44–6.75 2.95–7.24 | 8.20 4.67–11.74 3.63–12.77 | 19% 70% |
| Corners | 4.24 2.03–6.45 1.45–7.03 | 6.29 4.29–8.29 3.75–8.82 | 10.53 6.31–14.74 5.21–15.85 | 21% 68% |
| Possession % | 40.74 33.95–47.53 32.28–49.20 | 59.14 52.35–65.92 50.68–67.59 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 412 345–479 327–497 | 581 515–648 497–665 | 994 860–1127 824–1163 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.44 62.41–70.47 61.12–71.77 | 77.02 72.69–81.34 71.38–82.65 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 13.69 10.85–16.53 10.10–17.29 | 9.72 6.77–12.66 6.02–13.41 | 23.41 17.63–29.19 16.12–30.69 | 76% 18% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 2.31 1.22–3.40 0.93–3.69 | 3.95 1.70–6.20 1.11–6.79 | 27% 20% 53% |
| Yellow cards | 2.23 1.18–3.28 0.91–3.54 | 1.53 0.40–2.66 0.11–2.95 | 3.76 1.58–5.93 1.02–6.49 | 54% 20% 26% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 5.03 3.60–6.47 3.21–6.86 | 2.63 1.07–4.18 0.65–4.61 | 7.66 4.67–10.65 3.85–11.46 | 76% 14% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.