La Liga·Regular Season - 20·
La Liga·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
24%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.660.822.48safe0.69–2.630.00–1.670.65–4.30safer0.44–2.880.00–1.900.17–4.78
Shots on target
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.383.088.45safe3.51–7.241.34–4.824.85–12.06safer3.02–7.730.87–5.293.89–13.01
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction15.369.7925.16safe11.44–19.296.23–13.3517.67–32.64safer10.35–20.385.27–14.3115.62–34.69
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction9.786.5616.33safe6.83–12.723.88–9.2410.71–21.96safer6.00–13.553.14–9.989.14–23.52
Blocked shots
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.332.697.02safe2.45–6.211.04–4.343.49–10.56safer1.91–6.760.55–4.842.45–11.59
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.473.349.81safe4.26–8.691.34–5.345.60–14.03safer3.69–9.260.81–5.884.49–15.14
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction63.8535.42safe57.06–70.6428.63–42.20safer55.39–72.3126.96–43.87
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction588304892safe521–655237–370759–1026safer503–674220–388723–1062
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction75.3064.64safe71.27–79.3360.31–68.96safer69.98–80.6259.00–70.27
Fouls
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3914.4226.81safe9.55–15.2311.48–17.3721.03–32.60safer8.80–15.9810.73–18.1219.53–34.10
Offsides
54%
20%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.341.643.98safe1.18–3.500.54–2.731.73–6.23safer0.88–3.800.25–3.021.14–6.82
Yellow cards
29%
19%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.862.524.38safe0.81–2.911.39–3.652.20–6.55safer0.54–3.171.10–3.941.64–7.11
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.130.22safe0.00–0.250.00–0.310.00–0.57safer0.00–0.400.00–0.450.00–0.85
GK saves
24%
16%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.263.385.63safe0.82–3.691.82–4.932.64–8.63safer0.43–4.081.40–5.361.83–9.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.66 0.69–2.63 0.44–2.88 | 0.82 0.00–1.67 0.00–1.90 | 2.48 0.65–4.30 0.17–4.78 | 57% 24% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.38 3.51–7.24 3.02–7.73 | 3.08 1.34–4.82 0.87–5.29 | 8.45 4.85–12.06 3.89–13.01 | 73% 16% |
| Total shots | 15.36 11.44–19.29 10.35–20.38 | 9.79 6.23–13.35 5.27–14.31 | 25.16 17.67–32.64 15.62–34.69 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 9.78 6.83–12.72 6.00–13.55 | 6.56 3.88–9.24 3.14–9.98 | 16.33 10.71–21.96 9.14–23.52 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.33 2.45–6.21 1.91–6.76 | 2.69 1.04–4.34 0.55–4.84 | 7.02 3.49–10.56 2.45–11.59 | 67% 21% |
| Corners | 6.47 4.26–8.69 3.69–9.26 | 3.34 1.34–5.34 0.81–5.88 | 9.81 5.60–14.03 4.49–15.14 | 80% |
| Possession % | 63.85 57.06–70.64 55.39–72.31 | 35.42 28.63–42.20 26.96–43.87 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 588 521–655 503–674 | 304 237–370 220–388 | 892 759–1026 723–1062 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.30 71.27–79.33 69.98–80.62 | 64.64 60.31–68.96 59.00–70.27 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 12.39 9.55–15.23 8.80–15.98 | 14.42 11.48–17.37 10.73–18.12 | 26.81 21.03–32.60 19.53–34.10 | 31% 62% |
| Offsides | 2.34 1.18–3.50 0.88–3.80 | 1.64 0.54–2.73 0.25–3.02 | 3.98 1.73–6.23 1.14–6.82 | 54% 20% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.91 0.54–3.17 | 2.52 1.39–3.65 1.10–3.94 | 4.38 2.20–6.55 1.64–7.11 | 29% 19% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.26 0.82–3.69 0.43–4.08 | 3.38 1.82–4.93 1.40–5.36 | 5.63 2.64–8.63 1.83–9.44 | 24% 16% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.