Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
28%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.260.972.23safe0.29–2.230.12–1.830.41–4.06safer0.04–2.480.00–2.060.00–4.53
Shots on target
63%
13%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.342.947.28safe2.48–6.201.20–4.693.68–10.89safer1.99–6.690.74–5.152.72–11.84
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction15.489.8025.29safe11.56–19.416.24–13.3717.80–32.78safer10.47–20.505.28–14.3315.75–34.83
Shots in box
70%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction9.126.5615.68safe6.17–12.063.88–9.2410.06–21.30safer5.35–12.893.14–9.988.49–22.87
Blocked shots
63%
14%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.172.766.92safe2.28–6.051.10–4.413.39–10.46safer1.74–6.590.61–4.902.35–11.49
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.623.829.44safe3.41–7.831.82–5.825.23–13.65safer2.83–8.411.29–6.364.12–14.76
Possession %
50%
46%
homeawayprediction49.9849.09safe43.19–56.7742.30–55.87safer41.52–58.4440.63–57.54
Passes
49%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction397398795safe329–464332–465661–929safer311–482314–482626–964
Pass accuracy %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction66.1768.52safe62.14–70.2064.20–72.85safer60.85–71.5062.89–74.16
Fouls
46%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8314.9029.74safe12.00–17.6711.96–17.8523.96–35.52safer11.24–18.4311.21–18.6022.45–37.02
Offsides
38%
25%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.422.88safe0.29–2.610.33–2.520.62–5.13safer0.00–2.920.04–2.800.03–5.72
Yellow cards
37%
18%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.402.625.02safe1.35–3.451.49–3.752.84–7.19safer1.08–3.711.20–4.042.28–7.75
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.140.23safe0.00–0.250.00–0.330.00–0.58safer0.00–0.400.00–0.460.00–0.86
GK saves
27%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.253.145.39safe0.81–3.681.58–4.702.39–8.38safer0.42–4.071.16–5.121.58–9.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.29–2.23 0.04–2.48 | 0.97 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 2.23 0.41–4.06 0.00–4.53 | 43% 28% 29% |
| Shots on target | 4.34 2.48–6.20 1.99–6.69 | 2.94 1.20–4.69 0.74–5.15 | 7.28 3.68–10.89 2.72–11.84 | 63% 13% 24% |
| Total shots | 15.48 11.56–19.41 10.47–20.50 | 9.80 6.24–13.37 5.28–14.33 | 25.29 17.80–32.78 15.75–34.83 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 9.12 6.17–12.06 5.35–12.89 | 6.56 3.88–9.24 3.14–9.98 | 15.68 10.06–21.30 8.49–22.87 | 70% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 4.17 2.28–6.05 1.74–6.59 | 2.76 1.10–4.41 0.61–4.90 | 6.92 3.39–10.46 2.35–11.49 | 63% 14% 23% |
| Corners | 5.62 3.41–7.83 2.83–8.41 | 3.82 1.82–5.82 1.29–6.36 | 9.44 5.23–13.65 4.12–14.76 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 49.98 43.19–56.77 41.52–58.44 | 49.09 42.30–55.87 40.63–57.54 | — | 50% 46% |
| Passes | 397 329–464 311–482 | 398 332–465 314–482 | 795 661–929 626–964 | 49% 50% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.17 62.14–70.20 60.85–71.50 | 68.52 64.20–72.85 62.89–74.16 | — | 36% 59% |
| Fouls | 14.83 12.00–17.67 11.24–18.43 | 14.90 11.96–17.85 11.21–18.60 | 29.74 23.96–35.52 22.45–37.02 | 46% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.92 | 1.42 0.33–2.52 0.04–2.80 | 2.88 0.62–5.13 0.03–5.72 | 38% 25% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 2.40 1.35–3.45 1.08–3.71 | 2.62 1.49–3.75 1.20–4.04 | 5.02 2.84–7.19 2.28–7.75 | 37% 18% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.25 0.81–3.68 0.42–4.07 | 3.14 1.58–4.70 1.16–5.12 | 5.39 2.39–8.38 1.58–9.19 | 27% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.