La Liga·Regular Season - 21·
La Liga·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
22%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.263.24safe1.02–2.950.40–2.111.42–5.07safer0.77–3.210.18–2.340.94–5.55
Shots on target
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction6.204.5310.73safe4.34–8.062.78–6.277.12–14.33safer3.85–8.552.32–6.746.17–15.29
Total shots
74%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction16.6612.6629.32safe12.73–20.589.10–16.2221.83–36.80safer11.64–21.678.14–17.1819.78–38.85
Shots in box
78%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction11.657.7019.36safe8.71–14.605.02–10.3813.73–24.98safer7.88–15.434.28–11.1212.17–26.55
Blocked shots
56%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.233.327.55safe2.35–6.111.67–4.974.02–11.09safer1.81–6.661.18–5.472.98–12.12
Corners
73%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.644.1110.76safe4.43–8.862.11–6.116.54–14.97safer3.86–9.431.58–6.655.44–16.08
Possession %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction49.7450.68safe42.95–56.5343.89–57.46safer41.28–58.2042.22–59.13
Passes
51%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction497493990safe429–564427–560856–1123safer411–582409–577820–1159
Pass accuracy %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction71.5373.72safe67.50–75.5669.39–78.04safer66.21–76.8668.08–79.35
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8812.4023.28safe8.04–13.729.45–15.3417.50–29.06safer7.29–14.488.70–16.0915.99–30.57
Offsides
70%
15%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction3.181.554.73safe2.02–4.340.46–2.652.47–6.98safer1.71–4.640.17–2.931.89–7.57
Yellow cards
36%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.062.264.32safe1.01–3.111.13–3.392.15–6.50safer0.75–3.380.84–3.681.59–7.06
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
29%
14%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.214.207.41safe1.77–4.642.64–5.754.41–10.40safer1.38–5.032.22–6.183.60–11.21
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.99 1.02–2.95 0.77–3.21 | 1.26 0.40–2.11 0.18–2.34 | 3.24 1.42–5.07 0.94–5.55 | 54% 22% 24% |
| Shots on target | 6.20 4.34–8.06 3.85–8.55 | 4.53 2.78–6.27 2.32–6.74 | 10.73 7.12–14.33 6.17–15.29 | 64% 25% |
| Total shots | 16.66 12.73–20.58 11.64–21.67 | 12.66 9.10–16.22 8.14–17.18 | 29.32 21.83–36.80 19.78–38.85 | 74% 20% |
| Shots in box | 11.65 8.71–14.60 7.88–15.43 | 7.70 5.02–10.38 4.28–11.12 | 19.36 13.73–24.98 12.17–26.55 | 78% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.23 2.35–6.11 1.81–6.66 | 3.32 1.67–4.97 1.18–5.47 | 7.55 4.02–11.09 2.98–12.12 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Corners | 6.64 4.43–8.86 3.86–9.43 | 4.11 2.11–6.11 1.58–6.65 | 10.76 6.54–14.97 5.44–16.08 | 73% 18% |
| Possession % | 49.74 42.95–56.53 41.28–58.20 | 50.68 43.89–57.46 42.22–59.13 | — | 45% 50% |
| Passes | 497 429–564 411–582 | 493 427–560 409–577 | 990 856–1123 820–1159 | 51% 49% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.53 67.50–75.56 66.21–76.86 | 73.72 69.39–78.04 68.08–79.35 | — | 36% 59% |
| Fouls | 10.88 8.04–13.72 7.29–14.48 | 12.40 9.45–15.34 8.70–16.09 | 23.28 17.50–29.06 15.99–30.57 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 3.18 2.02–4.34 1.71–4.64 | 1.55 0.46–2.65 0.17–2.93 | 4.73 2.47–6.98 1.89–7.57 | 70% 15% 16% |
| Yellow cards | 2.06 1.01–3.11 0.75–3.38 | 2.26 1.13–3.39 0.84–3.68 | 4.32 2.15–6.50 1.59–7.06 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.21 1.77–4.64 1.38–5.03 | 4.20 2.64–5.75 2.22–6.18 | 7.41 4.41–10.40 3.60–11.21 | 29% 14% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+