Predicted match statistics
Goals
92%
homeawaytotalprediction3.940.624.56safe2.98–4.910.00–1.472.74–6.39safer2.72–5.160.00–1.702.26–6.87
Shots on target
98%
homeawaytotalprediction9.532.2911.82safe7.67–11.390.55–4.038.21–15.42safer7.18–11.880.08–4.507.26–16.38
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction24.025.7529.77safe20.10–27.952.18–9.3122.28–37.25safer19.01–29.041.22–10.2720.23–39.31
Shots in box
100%
homeawaytotalprediction16.293.7019.99safe13.35–19.231.02–6.3814.37–25.62safer12.52–20.060.29–7.1212.80–27.18
Blocked shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction6.321.217.53safe4.43–8.200.00–2.863.99–11.06safer3.89–8.740.00–3.362.96–12.10
Corners
97%
homeawaytotalprediction8.782.3711.15safe6.57–10.990.37–4.376.93–15.36safer5.99–11.570.00–4.905.83–16.47
Possession %
100%
homeawayprediction75.4224.26safe68.63–82.2117.47–31.04safer66.96–83.8815.80–32.72
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction8052731078safe738–872207–340944–1212safer720–890189–357909–1247
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction84.3865.08safe80.35–88.4160.76–69.41safer79.06–89.7159.45–70.71
Fouls
32%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction8.359.8218.16safe5.51–11.196.87–12.7612.38–23.95safer4.75–11.946.12–13.5110.88–25.45
Offsides
32%
17%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.583.195.77safe1.42–3.742.09–4.283.51–8.02safer1.12–4.041.80–4.572.92–8.61
Yellow cards
17%
23%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction0.811.792.60safe0.00–1.860.66–2.920.42–4.77safer0.00–2.120.37–3.210.00–5.33
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
93%
homeawaytotalprediction1.646.017.65safe0.20–3.074.45–7.574.66–10.64safer0.00–3.464.03–7.993.84–11.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.94 2.98–4.91 2.72–5.16 | 0.62 0.00–1.47 0.00–1.70 | 4.56 2.74–6.39 2.26–6.87 | 92% |
| Shots on target | 9.53 7.67–11.39 7.18–11.88 | 2.29 0.55–4.03 0.08–4.50 | 11.82 8.21–15.42 7.26–16.38 | 98% |
| Total shots | 24.02 20.10–27.95 19.01–29.04 | 5.75 2.18–9.31 1.22–10.27 | 29.77 22.28–37.25 20.23–39.31 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 16.29 13.35–19.23 12.52–20.06 | 3.70 1.02–6.38 0.29–7.12 | 19.99 14.37–25.62 12.80–27.18 | 100% |
| Blocked shots | 6.32 4.43–8.20 3.89–8.74 | 1.21 0.00–2.86 0.00–3.36 | 7.53 3.99–11.06 2.96–12.10 | 96% |
| Corners | 8.78 6.57–10.99 5.99–11.57 | 2.37 0.37–4.37 0.00–4.90 | 11.15 6.93–15.36 5.83–16.47 | 97% |
| Possession % | 75.42 68.63–82.21 66.96–83.88 | 24.26 17.47–31.04 15.80–32.72 | — | 100% |
| Passes | 805 738–872 720–890 | 273 207–340 189–357 | 1078 944–1212 909–1247 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.38 80.35–88.41 79.06–89.71 | 65.08 60.76–69.41 59.45–70.71 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 8.35 5.51–11.19 4.75–11.94 | 9.82 6.87–12.76 6.12–13.51 | 18.16 12.38–23.95 10.88–25.45 | 32% 59% |
| Offsides | 2.58 1.42–3.74 1.12–4.04 | 3.19 2.09–4.28 1.80–4.57 | 5.77 3.51–8.02 2.92–8.61 | 32% 17% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 0.81 0.00–1.86 0.00–2.12 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 2.60 0.42–4.77 0.00–5.33 | 17% 23% 61% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 1.64 0.20–3.07 0.00–3.46 | 6.01 4.45–7.57 4.03–7.99 | 7.65 4.66–10.64 3.84–11.45 | 93% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+