La Liga·Regular Season - 22·
La Liga·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
27%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.450.972.42safe0.48–2.420.11–1.820.60–4.24safer0.23–2.670.00–2.050.12–4.72
Shots on target
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.853.358.19safe2.99–6.711.60–5.094.59–11.80safer2.50–7.201.14–5.553.63–12.75
Total shots
76%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7810.6825.46safe10.85–18.707.12–14.2517.98–32.95safer9.76–19.806.16–15.2115.93–35.00
Shots in box
70%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction9.126.5415.66safe6.18–12.063.86–9.2210.04–21.28safer5.35–12.893.12–9.968.47–22.85
Blocked shots
65%
13%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.312.777.09safe2.43–6.201.12–4.423.55–10.62safer1.89–6.740.63–4.922.52–11.66
Corners
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.003.569.56safe3.79–8.211.56–5.565.35–13.77safer3.21–8.791.02–6.094.24–14.88
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction61.9337.60safe55.14–68.7230.81–44.38safer53.47–70.3929.14–46.05
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction557319876safe490–624252–385742–1010safer472–643235–403707–1045
Pass accuracy %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction73.0066.48safe68.97–77.0362.16–70.80safer67.68–78.3260.85–72.11
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9213.4626.37safe10.08–15.7510.51–16.4020.59–32.16safer9.32–16.519.77–17.1519.09–33.66
Offsides
52%
23%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.152.94safe0.63–2.950.06–2.250.69–5.20safer0.33–3.250.00–2.530.10–5.79
Yellow cards
28%
19%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.772.454.22safe0.72–2.821.32–3.582.04–6.39safer0.45–3.081.03–3.871.48–6.95
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.150.24safe0.00–0.250.00–0.340.00–0.58safer0.00–0.400.00–0.470.00–0.87
GK saves
28%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.393.225.61safe0.95–3.831.67–4.782.62–8.61safer0.57–4.211.24–5.211.81–9.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.45 0.48–2.42 0.23–2.67 | 0.97 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.05 | 2.42 0.60–4.24 0.12–4.72 | 48% 27% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.85 2.99–6.71 2.50–7.20 | 3.35 1.60–5.09 1.14–5.55 | 8.19 4.59–11.80 3.63–12.75 | 64% 24% |
| Total shots | 14.78 10.85–18.70 9.76–19.80 | 10.68 7.12–14.25 6.16–15.21 | 25.46 17.98–32.95 15.93–35.00 | 76% 18% |
| Shots in box | 9.12 6.18–12.06 5.35–12.89 | 6.54 3.86–9.22 3.12–9.96 | 15.66 10.04–21.28 8.47–22.85 | 70% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 4.31 2.43–6.20 1.89–6.74 | 2.77 1.12–4.42 0.63–4.92 | 7.09 3.55–10.62 2.52–11.66 | 65% 13% 22% |
| Corners | 6.00 3.79–8.21 3.21–8.79 | 3.56 1.56–5.56 1.02–6.09 | 9.56 5.35–13.77 4.24–14.88 | 74% 17% |
| Possession % | 61.93 55.14–68.72 53.47–70.39 | 37.60 30.81–44.38 29.14–46.05 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 557 490–624 472–643 | 319 252–385 235–403 | 876 742–1010 707–1045 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.00 68.97–77.03 67.68–78.32 | 66.48 62.16–70.80 60.85–72.11 | — | 78% 18% |
| Fouls | 12.92 10.08–15.75 9.32–16.51 | 13.46 10.51–16.40 9.77–17.15 | 26.37 20.59–32.16 19.09–33.66 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.79 0.63–2.95 0.33–3.25 | 1.15 0.06–2.25 0.00–2.53 | 2.94 0.69–5.20 0.10–5.79 | 52% 23% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.77 0.72–2.82 0.45–3.08 | 2.45 1.32–3.58 1.03–3.87 | 4.22 2.04–6.39 1.48–6.95 | 28% 19% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.39 0.95–3.83 0.57–4.21 | 3.22 1.67–4.78 1.24–5.21 | 5.61 2.62–8.61 1.81–9.42 | 28% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+