La Liga·Regular Season - 22·
La Liga·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
27%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.061.372.42safe0.09–2.030.51–2.220.60–4.25safer0.00–2.280.28–2.450.12–4.73
Shots on target
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.984.298.27safe2.11–5.842.55–6.044.67–11.88safer1.62–6.332.09–6.503.71–12.83
Total shots
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2311.8524.09safe8.31–16.168.29–15.4216.60–31.57safer7.22–17.257.33–16.3814.55–33.62
Shots in box
39%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction7.307.8815.18safe4.35–10.245.20–10.569.55–20.80safer3.52–11.074.46–11.307.99–22.37
Blocked shots
36%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.993.416.40safe1.11–4.871.76–5.062.86–9.93safer0.56–5.411.27–5.561.83–10.97
Corners
39%
13%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.544.929.46safe2.33–6.762.92–6.925.24–13.67safer1.76–7.332.38–7.454.14–14.78
Possession %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction42.1257.75safe35.32–48.9150.96–64.53safer33.66–50.5849.29–66.20
Passes
13%
87%
homeawaytotalprediction371505876safe303–438438–571742–1009safer285–456421–589706–1045
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction64.5973.46safe60.56–68.6269.14–77.79safer59.27–69.9167.83–79.10
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0413.5625.60safe9.20–14.8710.62–16.5119.82–31.38safer8.44–15.639.87–17.2618.31–32.89
Offsides
61%
17%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.901.804.70safe1.74–4.060.71–2.892.45–6.96safer1.44–4.370.42–3.181.86–7.55
Yellow cards
33%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.832.184.01safe0.78–2.881.05–3.311.83–6.19safer0.52–3.150.76–3.601.27–6.75
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
40%
17%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.732.805.54safe1.29–4.171.25–4.362.54–8.53safer0.91–4.550.82–4.791.73–9.34
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.06 0.09–2.03 0.00–2.28 | 1.37 0.51–2.22 0.28–2.45 | 2.42 0.60–4.25 0.12–4.73 | 29% 27% 44% |
| Shots on target | 3.98 2.11–5.84 1.62–6.33 | 4.29 2.55–6.04 2.09–6.50 | 8.27 4.67–11.88 3.71–12.83 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Total shots | 12.23 8.31–16.16 7.22–17.25 | 11.85 8.29–15.42 7.33–16.38 | 24.09 16.60–31.57 14.55–33.62 | 49% 43% |
| Shots in box | 7.30 4.35–10.24 3.52–11.07 | 7.88 5.20–10.56 4.46–11.30 | 15.18 9.55–20.80 7.99–22.37 | 39% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 2.99 1.11–4.87 0.56–5.41 | 3.41 1.76–5.06 1.27–5.56 | 6.40 2.86–9.93 1.83–10.97 | 36% 16% 49% |
| Corners | 4.54 2.33–6.76 1.76–7.33 | 4.92 2.92–6.92 2.38–7.45 | 9.46 5.24–13.67 4.14–14.78 | 39% 13% 48% |
| Possession % | 42.12 35.32–48.91 33.66–50.58 | 57.75 50.96–64.53 49.29–66.20 | — | 16% 81% |
| Passes | 371 303–438 285–456 | 505 438–571 421–589 | 876 742–1009 706–1045 | 13% 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.59 60.56–68.62 59.27–69.91 | 73.46 69.14–77.79 67.83–79.10 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 12.04 9.20–14.87 8.44–15.63 | 13.56 10.62–16.51 9.87–17.26 | 25.60 19.82–31.38 18.31–32.89 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 2.90 1.74–4.06 1.44–4.37 | 1.80 0.71–2.89 0.42–3.18 | 4.70 2.45–6.96 1.86–7.55 | 61% 17% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.78–2.88 0.52–3.15 | 2.18 1.05–3.31 0.76–3.60 | 4.01 1.83–6.19 1.27–6.75 | 33% 20% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.73 1.29–4.17 0.91–4.55 | 2.80 1.25–4.36 0.82–4.79 | 5.54 2.54–8.53 1.73–9.34 | 40% 17% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+