La Liga·Regular Season - 22·
La Liga·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.480.933.42safe1.51–3.450.08–1.791.59–5.24safer1.26–3.700.00–2.021.11–5.72
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.793.2310.01safe4.92–8.651.49–4.976.41–13.62safer4.43–9.141.02–5.445.45–14.57
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction18.398.9027.30safe14.47–22.325.34–12.4719.81–34.79safer13.38–23.414.38–13.4317.76–36.84
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction12.436.3418.76safe9.48–15.373.65–9.0213.14–24.38safer8.65–16.202.92–9.7511.57–25.95
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction4.932.177.10safe3.05–6.810.52–3.823.56–10.63safer2.50–7.350.02–4.312.53–11.67
Corners
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.993.1810.17safe4.77–9.201.18–5.185.95–14.38safer4.20–9.770.65–5.714.85–15.49
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.0540.14safe52.26–65.8433.36–46.92safer50.59–67.5131.68–48.60
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction587392979safe520–654325–458845–1112safer502–672308–476809–1148
Pass accuracy %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction77.2469.20safe73.21–81.2764.88–73.52safer71.92–82.5763.57–74.83
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4812.3524.83safe9.64–15.329.41–15.3019.05–30.62safer8.89–16.078.66–16.0517.55–32.12
Offsides
67%
16%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.871.444.32safe1.71–4.030.35–2.542.07–6.57safer1.41–4.340.06–2.831.48–7.16
Yellow cards
28%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.522.133.65safe0.47–2.571.00–3.261.47–5.83safer0.21–2.840.71–3.550.92–6.39
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.164.186.33safe0.72–3.592.62–5.733.34–9.33safer0.33–3.982.20–6.162.53–10.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.48 1.51–3.45 1.26–3.70 | 0.93 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.02 | 3.42 1.59–5.24 1.11–5.72 | 71% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.79 4.92–8.65 4.43–9.14 | 3.23 1.49–4.97 1.02–5.44 | 10.01 6.41–13.62 5.45–14.57 | 84% |
| Total shots | 18.39 14.47–22.32 13.38–23.41 | 8.90 5.34–12.47 4.38–13.43 | 27.30 19.81–34.79 17.76–36.84 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 12.43 9.48–15.37 8.65–16.20 | 6.34 3.65–9.02 2.92–9.75 | 18.76 13.14–24.38 11.57–25.95 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 4.93 3.05–6.81 2.50–7.35 | 2.17 0.52–3.82 0.02–4.31 | 7.10 3.56–10.63 2.53–11.67 | 80% |
| Corners | 6.99 4.77–9.20 4.20–9.77 | 3.18 1.18–5.18 0.65–5.71 | 10.17 5.95–14.38 4.85–15.49 | 85% |
| Possession % | 59.05 52.26–65.84 50.59–67.51 | 40.14 33.36–46.92 31.68–48.60 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 587 520–654 502–672 | 392 325–458 308–476 | 979 845–1112 809–1148 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.24 73.21–81.27 71.92–82.57 | 69.20 64.88–73.52 63.57–74.83 | — | 83% 14% |
| Fouls | 12.48 9.64–15.32 8.89–16.07 | 12.35 9.41–15.30 8.66–16.05 | 24.83 19.05–30.62 17.55–32.12 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 2.87 1.71–4.03 1.41–4.34 | 1.44 0.35–2.54 0.06–2.83 | 4.32 2.07–6.57 1.48–7.16 | 67% 16% 17% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.47–2.57 0.21–2.84 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 3.65 1.47–5.83 0.92–6.39 | 28% 21% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.16 0.72–3.59 0.33–3.98 | 4.18 2.62–5.73 2.20–6.16 | 6.33 3.34–9.33 2.53–10.14 | 15% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.