Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
25%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.062.63safe0.61–2.540.20–1.910.81–4.46safer0.36–2.800.00–2.140.33–4.94
Shots on target
57%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.863.798.65safe2.99–6.722.05–5.545.05–12.26safer2.51–7.211.59–6.004.09–13.21
Total shots
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0911.3625.45safe10.16–18.017.80–14.9217.96–32.93safer9.07–19.106.84–15.8815.91–34.98
Shots in box
57%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction9.097.9016.99safe6.15–12.035.22–10.5811.37–22.62safer5.32–12.864.48–11.329.80–24.18
Blocked shots
63%
14%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.832.496.32safe1.94–5.710.84–4.152.78–9.86safer1.40–6.250.35–4.641.75–10.89
Corners
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.594.059.65safe3.38–7.812.05–6.055.43–13.86safer2.81–8.381.52–6.584.33–14.97
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction59.2741.03safe52.48–66.0634.24–47.81safer50.81–67.7332.57–49.48
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction534383917safe467–601316–449783–1051safer449–619299–467747–1086
Pass accuracy %
63%
33%
homeawayprediction70.5667.58safe66.53–74.5963.26–71.90safer65.24–75.8861.95–73.21
Fouls
44%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3613.7027.07safe10.53–16.2010.76–16.6521.28–32.85safer9.77–16.9610.01–17.4019.78–34.35
Offsides
28%
17%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.102.894.98safe0.94–3.261.79–3.982.73–7.24safer0.64–3.561.51–4.272.14–7.83
Yellow cards
37%
19%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.272.474.74safe1.22–3.321.34–3.602.56–6.92safer0.95–3.581.05–3.892.00–7.48
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.140.27safe0.00–0.280.00–0.330.00–0.61safer0.00–0.430.00–0.460.00–0.90
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.653.476.12safe1.21–4.081.91–5.033.13–9.11safer0.83–4.471.49–5.452.31–9.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.58 0.61–2.54 0.36–2.80 | 1.06 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 2.63 0.81–4.46 0.33–4.94 | 49% 25% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.86 2.99–6.72 2.51–7.21 | 3.79 2.05–5.54 1.59–6.00 | 8.65 5.05–12.26 4.09–13.21 | 57% 30% |
| Total shots | 14.09 10.16–18.01 9.07–19.10 | 11.36 7.80–14.92 6.84–15.88 | 25.45 17.96–32.93 15.91–34.98 | 67% 26% |
| Shots in box | 9.09 6.15–12.03 5.32–12.86 | 7.90 5.22–10.58 4.48–11.32 | 16.99 11.37–22.62 9.80–24.18 | 57% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 3.83 1.94–5.71 1.40–6.25 | 2.49 0.84–4.15 0.35–4.64 | 6.32 2.78–9.86 1.75–10.89 | 63% 14% 23% |
| Corners | 5.59 3.38–7.81 2.81–8.38 | 4.05 2.05–6.05 1.52–6.58 | 9.65 5.43–13.86 4.33–14.97 | 63% 25% |
| Possession % | 59.27 52.48–66.06 50.81–67.73 | 41.03 34.24–47.81 32.57–49.48 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 534 467–601 449–619 | 383 316–449 299–467 | 917 783–1051 747–1086 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.56 66.53–74.59 65.24–75.88 | 67.58 63.26–71.90 61.95–73.21 | — | 63% 33% |
| Fouls | 13.36 10.53–16.20 9.77–16.96 | 13.70 10.76–16.65 10.01–17.40 | 27.07 21.28–32.85 19.78–34.35 | 44% 49% |
| Offsides | 2.10 0.94–3.26 0.64–3.56 | 2.89 1.79–3.98 1.51–4.27 | 4.98 2.73–7.24 2.14–7.83 | 28% 17% 55% |
| Yellow cards | 2.27 1.22–3.32 0.95–3.58 | 2.47 1.34–3.60 1.05–3.89 | 4.74 2.56–6.92 2.00–7.48 | 37% 19% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.27 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.90 | 78% |
| GK saves | 2.65 1.21–4.08 0.83–4.47 | 3.47 1.91–5.03 1.49–5.45 | 6.12 3.13–9.11 2.31–9.92 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.