La Liga·Regular Season - 24·
La Liga·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
27%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.132.53safe0.43–2.370.27–1.980.70–4.35safer0.18–2.620.04–2.210.23–4.83
Shots on target
56%
13%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.613.678.27safe2.74–6.471.92–5.414.67–11.88safer2.25–6.961.46–5.873.71–12.83
Total shots
61%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2911.4024.69safe9.37–17.227.84–14.9617.20–32.18safer8.28–18.316.88–15.9215.15–34.23
Shots in box
45%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction7.647.5915.23safe4.70–10.584.91–10.279.61–20.86safer3.87–11.414.17–11.018.04–22.42
Blocked shots
53%
16%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.512.796.30safe1.63–5.401.13–4.442.77–9.84safer1.09–5.940.64–4.931.73–10.87
Corners
56%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.214.229.43safe2.99–7.422.22–6.225.22–13.64safer2.42–7.991.69–6.764.11–14.75
Possession %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction53.6746.53safe46.88–60.4639.75–53.32safer45.21–62.1338.08–54.99
Passes
74%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction516439955safe449–584372–505821–1089safer431–602355–523786–1124
Pass accuracy %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction68.5070.62safe64.47–72.5366.30–74.95safer63.18–73.8264.99–76.25
Fouls
38%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2414.3827.62safe10.41–16.0811.43–17.3221.84–33.40safer9.65–16.8410.68–18.0720.33–34.91
Offsides
19%
16%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.612.914.51safe0.45–2.771.81–4.002.26–6.77safer0.15–3.071.52–4.291.67–7.35
Yellow cards
34%
18%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.222.614.82safe1.17–3.271.48–3.742.65–7.00safer0.90–3.531.19–4.032.09–7.56
Red cards
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.170.28safe0.00–0.280.00–0.350.00–0.63safer0.00–0.430.00–0.490.00–0.91
GK saves
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.413.325.73safe0.98–3.851.76–4.872.74–8.72safer0.59–4.241.34–5.301.93–9.54
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 0.43–2.37 0.18–2.62 | 1.13 0.27–1.98 0.04–2.21 | 2.53 0.70–4.35 0.23–4.83 | 43% 27% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.61 2.74–6.47 2.25–6.96 | 3.67 1.92–5.41 1.46–5.87 | 8.27 4.67–11.88 3.71–12.83 | 56% 13% 31% |
| Total shots | 13.29 9.37–17.22 8.28–18.31 | 11.40 7.84–14.96 6.88–15.92 | 24.69 17.20–32.18 15.15–34.23 | 61% 31% |
| Shots in box | 7.64 4.70–10.58 3.87–11.41 | 7.59 4.91–10.27 4.17–11.01 | 15.23 9.61–20.86 8.04–22.42 | 45% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 3.51 1.63–5.40 1.09–5.94 | 2.79 1.13–4.44 0.64–4.93 | 6.30 2.77–9.84 1.73–10.87 | 53% 16% 31% |
| Corners | 5.21 2.99–7.42 2.42–7.99 | 4.22 2.22–6.22 1.69–6.76 | 9.43 5.22–13.64 4.11–14.75 | 56% 31% |
| Possession % | 53.67 46.88–60.46 45.21–62.13 | 46.53 39.75–53.32 38.08–54.99 | — | 64% 32% |
| Passes | 516 449–584 431–602 | 439 372–505 355–523 | 955 821–1089 786–1124 | 74% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.50 64.47–72.53 63.18–73.82 | 70.62 66.30–74.95 64.99–76.25 | — | 37% 58% |
| Fouls | 13.24 10.41–16.08 9.65–16.84 | 14.38 11.43–17.32 10.68–18.07 | 27.62 21.84–33.40 20.33–34.91 | 38% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.07 | 2.91 1.81–4.00 1.52–4.29 | 4.51 2.26–6.77 1.67–7.35 | 19% 16% 64% |
| Yellow cards | 2.22 1.17–3.27 0.90–3.53 | 2.61 1.48–3.74 1.19–4.03 | 4.82 2.65–7.00 2.09–7.56 | 34% 18% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.49 | 0.28 0.00–0.63 0.00–0.91 | 77% 14% |
| GK saves | 2.41 0.98–3.85 0.59–4.24 | 3.32 1.76–4.87 1.34–5.30 | 5.73 2.74–8.72 1.93–9.54 | 28% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+