Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
26%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.222.66safe0.47–2.410.37–2.080.84–4.48safer0.22–2.660.14–2.300.36–4.96
Shots on target
51%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.594.008.59safe2.72–6.452.26–5.744.98–12.19safer2.23–6.941.79–6.214.03–13.15
Total shots
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0811.5525.63safe10.16–18.017.98–15.1118.14–33.12safer9.07–19.107.02–16.0716.09–35.17
Shots in box
55%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction8.387.3915.77safe5.44–11.334.71–10.0710.15–21.40safer4.61–12.163.97–10.818.58–22.96
Blocked shots
51%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.693.146.83safe1.81–5.571.48–4.793.29–10.36safer1.26–6.120.99–5.282.25–11.40
Corners
48%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.024.679.69safe2.81–7.242.67–6.675.47–13.90safer2.23–7.812.13–7.204.37–15.01
Possession %
37%
59%
homeawayprediction48.0252.77safe41.23–54.8145.99–59.56safer39.56–56.4844.32–61.23
Passes
44%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction445461906safe378–512395–528772–1040safer359–530377–545736–1075
Pass accuracy %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction69.3172.63safe65.28–73.3468.31–76.96safer63.99–74.6367.00–78.27
Fouls
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6913.6025.28safe8.85–14.5210.65–16.5419.50–31.07safer8.09–15.289.90–17.2918.00–32.57
Offsides
35%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.832.083.91safe0.67–2.990.99–3.181.66–6.17safer0.37–3.290.70–3.471.07–6.76
Yellow cards
26%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.592.343.93safe0.55–2.641.21–3.471.75–6.11safer0.28–2.910.92–3.761.20–6.67
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.140.20safe0.00–0.220.00–0.330.00–0.55safer0.00–0.370.00–0.460.00–0.83
GK saves
38%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.903.156.05safe1.46–4.341.60–4.713.06–9.04safer1.08–4.721.17–5.132.25–9.86
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.47–2.41 0.22–2.66 | 1.22 0.37–2.08 0.14–2.30 | 2.66 0.84–4.48 0.36–4.96 | 42% 26% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.59 2.72–6.45 2.23–6.94 | 4.00 2.26–5.74 1.79–6.21 | 8.59 4.98–12.19 4.03–13.15 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Total shots | 14.08 10.16–18.01 9.07–19.10 | 11.55 7.98–15.11 7.02–16.07 | 25.63 18.14–33.12 16.09–35.17 | 66% 27% |
| Shots in box | 8.38 5.44–11.33 4.61–12.16 | 7.39 4.71–10.07 3.97–10.81 | 15.77 10.15–21.40 8.58–22.96 | 55% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 3.69 1.81–5.57 1.26–6.12 | 3.14 1.48–4.79 0.99–5.28 | 6.83 3.29–10.36 2.25–11.40 | 51% 15% 34% |
| Corners | 5.02 2.81–7.24 2.23–7.81 | 4.67 2.67–6.67 2.13–7.20 | 9.69 5.47–13.90 4.37–15.01 | 48% 39% |
| Possession % | 48.02 41.23–54.81 39.56–56.48 | 52.77 45.99–59.56 44.32–61.23 | — | 37% 59% |
| Passes | 445 378–512 359–530 | 461 395–528 377–545 | 906 772–1040 736–1075 | 44% 55% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.31 65.28–73.34 63.99–74.63 | 72.63 68.31–76.96 67.00–78.27 | — | 31% 64% |
| Fouls | 11.69 8.85–14.52 8.09–15.28 | 13.60 10.65–16.54 9.90–17.29 | 25.28 19.50–31.07 18.00–32.57 | 32% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 2.08 0.99–3.18 0.70–3.47 | 3.91 1.66–6.17 1.07–6.76 | 35% 21% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.55–2.64 0.28–2.91 | 2.34 1.21–3.47 0.92–3.76 | 3.93 1.75–6.11 1.20–6.67 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.90 1.46–4.34 1.08–4.72 | 3.15 1.60–4.71 1.17–5.13 | 6.05 3.06–9.04 2.25–9.86 | 38% 17% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+